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Daily network digest

Friday, August 14, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

BMO was the most central name, carrying 2.93× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.249
Clustering
0.533
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BMO 1 0.00196 2.93× 54.3% 9.8% ES, ITGR, ACGL, WELL, ARCC
EMA 2 0.00195 2.92× 50.2% 6.1% WMB, RACE, LBRDK, FHN, UNF
NTRS 3 0.00188 2.81× 64.3% 12.6% BHF, HON, SNA, CPT, AGNC
DUK 4 0.00188 2.81× 49.2% 9.0% TRNO, ICE, AGCO, RNR, MCY
J 5 0.00186 2.78× 66.9% 22.6% ATO, HOMB, PBA, VICI, AEE
SR 6 0.00184 2.76× 49.7% 12.2% RNST, USB, SKT, MTG, BMO
AEP 7 0.00184 2.75× 44.5% 14.0% PBA, IRT, MDLZ, EGP, RCI
APLE 8 0.00182 2.73× 53.4% 13.5% GFL, MRP, RJF, WM, ITGR
NWE 9 0.00181 2.71× 51.5% 14.7% BATRA, PEP, USB, PRU, UBSI
AFL 10 0.00180 2.69× 52.3% 8.5% SR, YUMC, ITGR, RLI, MAA

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
ACM 0.7932 5.69%
DVA 0.7920 1.80%
NYT 0.7137 1.33%
EHC 0.7059 0.56%
RBA 0.6931 1.85%
DOCS 0.6770 5.80%
HLI 0.6717 4.47%
YETI 0.6702 4.82%
PTC 0.6655 2.74%
CBT 0.6562 1.24%

Rising influence vs 2026-08-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AXP 0.001650.00010 +0.00154
VST 0.001540.00010 +0.00144
IVZ 0.001530.00010 +0.00143
BKNG 0.001520.00010 +0.00142
META 0.001460.00010 +0.00136

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PFSI 0.000100.00169 -0.00159
APO 0.000100.00168 -0.00158
BIP 0.001040.00260 -0.00156
PWR 0.000100.00154 -0.00144
MATX 0.000100.00152 -0.00142

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.54× the influence of an average node across 353 assets.

assets
353
Density
0.151
Clustering
0.390
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.01853 6.54× 76.7% 26.7% BADGERUSD, JASMYUSD, RARIEUR, DENTUSD, GUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01679 5.93× 75.6% 27.3% JUPUSD, BADGERUSD, DENTUSD, JASMYUSD, ADXUSD
FISUSD 3 0.01273 4.49× 61.6% 15.6% DEGENUSD, STGUSD, PENDLEUSD, ARKMUSD, NKNUSD
GOMININGUSD 4 0.01032 3.64× 52.0% 20.2% GALAUSD, DEGENUSD, SGBUSD, SNXUSD, DNTUSD
UNFIUSD 5 0.01031 3.64× 52.3% 30.4% CROUSD, STRKUSD, OMGUSD, VANRYUSD, AIOZUSD
REQUSD 6 0.00977 3.45× 47.7% 20.2% UNFIUSD, ALPHAUSD, XCNUSD, GMTUSD, BCHGBP
AURORAUSD 7 0.00893 3.15× 41.2% 21.9% BATUSD, UNFIUSD, SEIEUR, XRPAUD, BONKUSD
SUKUUSD 8 0.00880 3.11× 47.7% 20.5% NANOUSD, SHIBUSD, LRCUSD, SBRUSD, DNTUSD
ELAUSD 9 0.00812 2.87× 43.5% 51.4% 1INCHUSD, HFTUSD, SAGAUSD, AIOZUSD, DYDXEUR
SWELLUSD 10 0.00771 2.72× 42.0% 14.2% ETHAUD, NCTUSD, COWUSD, WEUR, DEXTUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-08-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUTUSD 0.018530.00549 +0.01304
PAXGUSD 0.016790.00559 +0.01119
UNFIUSD 0.010310.00346 +0.00685
GOMININGUSD 0.010320.00399 +0.00633
JUNOUSD 0.007290.00135 +0.00594

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
OCEANUSD 0.002320.01157 -0.00925
TRACUSD 0.002050.00941 -0.00737
ACAUSD 0.006320.01317 -0.00685
LCXUSD 0.002450.00795 -0.00551
HOPRUSD 0.004650.00940 -0.00475

Foreign exchange

USDEGP was the most central name, carrying 10.53× the influence of an average node across 546 pairs.

pairs
546
Density
0.036
Clustering
0.404
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDEGP 1 0.01929 10.53× 9.4% 2.0% SEKINR, ZARINR, ZARTRY, NOKINR, ZARMYR
ARSCOP 2 0.00869 4.75× 5.1% 3.1% LRDGBP, BWPCHF, CDFGBP, ARSPEN, BWPUSD
KRWTHB 3 0.00854 4.66× 5.0% 1.8% THBINR, XAUEUR, XAUINR, CHFINR, XAUJPY
XAGARS 4 0.00801 4.37× 11.0% 6.2% AEDZAR, OMRZAR, LKRZAR, TZSZAR, EGPZAR
LKRZAR 5 0.00737 4.02× 17.2% 9.7% ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARNGN, KRWINR, SEKINR
NADUSD 6 0.00677 3.70× 6.2% 1.7% MXNPEN, GBPUYU, UYUGBP, CLPMXN, COPCLP
EURZMW 7 0.00671 3.66× 1.3% 0.6% EURBHD, EURPGK, EURGHS
COPCAD 8 0.00640 3.49× 6.1% 4.6% USDUGX, PENCLP, CLPCNY, GBPUGX, SZLGBP
RUBUSD 9 0.00624 3.41× 13.0% 7.3% XAUBRL, USDBRL, XAURUB, JPYBRL, ZARHUF
TZSZAR 10 0.00623 3.40× 11.6% 11.6% ZARAED, KRWINR, LKRZAR, ZARTRY, ZARSGD

Rising influence vs 2026-08-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.019290.00361 +0.01568
ARSCOP 0.008690.00220 +0.00650
KRWTHB 0.008540.00252 +0.00602
XAGARS 0.008010.00254 +0.00547
LKRZAR 0.007370.00286 +0.00452

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.003590.01193 -0.00833
ARSAUD 0.001590.00772 -0.00613
EGPZAR 0.002050.00751 -0.00546
XAUAUD 0.002190.00722 -0.00503
USDMUR 0.001950.00662 -0.00466

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.