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Daily network digest

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

BIP was the most central name, carrying 3.89× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.241
Clustering
0.519
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BIP 1 0.00260 3.89× 61.6% 14.5% BATRA, FFIN, EMA, FBP, BPOP
CB 2 0.00215 3.21× 53.5% 10.2% INVH, TEL, ASB, MMM, D
NI 3 0.00208 3.11× 54.6% 15.3% FULT, WTS, VOYA, UGI, OBDC
WSBC 4 0.00195 2.92× 56.3% 14.1% SO, CHD, ADP, IDA, IEP
USB 5 0.00193 2.89× 53.9% 14.3% WRB, PFE, PLD, JPM, PAGP
NNI 6 0.00177 2.65× 62.8% 16.7% SLF, WBD, VICI, WRB, OBDC
ES 7 0.00172 2.57× 42.6% 12.6% WM, CM, JNJ, NMIH, CUBE
INVH 8 0.00171 2.55× 46.5% 12.9% JPM, UPS, V, D, CSX
AM 9 0.00170 2.54× 39.7% 13.0% PEN, WSBC, MCD, HLT, EW
CPT 10 0.00170 2.53× 39.2% 9.8% NDSN, ABCB, GATX, SR, RITM

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
TDS 0.9007 5.28%
ACM 0.8709 6.00%
RBA 0.8661 2.73%
GXO 0.8545 2.28%
EHC 0.8475 0.61%
ABNB 0.8412 7.19%
DORM 0.8399 2.96%
CTVA 0.8333 0.47%
TPR 0.8313 7.82%
ZTS 0.8291 3.93%

Rising influence vs 2026-08-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEL 0.001650.00010 +0.00155
MOG.A 0.001520.00010 +0.00142
LBRDK 0.001510.00010 +0.00141
MCK 0.001510.00010 +0.00140
MANU 0.001500.00010 +0.00140

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MPWR 0.000100.00157 -0.00147
EXEL 0.000100.00155 -0.00145
CSW 0.000100.00153 -0.00142
AXP 0.000100.00146 -0.00136
IRTC 0.000100.00144 -0.00134

Cryptocurrency

ACAUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.66× the influence of an average node across 354 assets.

assets
354
Density
0.154
Clustering
0.383
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ACAUSD 1 0.01317 4.66× 64.0% 13.3% ENJUSD, ALICEUSD, RARIEUR, CHZUSD, ASTUSD
SUKUUSD 2 0.01238 4.38× 58.4% 26.1% CPOOLUSD, BCHUSD, PYRUSD, BCHNUSD, BCHEUR
OCEANUSD 3 0.01157 4.10× 60.1% 27.2% MASKUSD, SPAUSD, AMPUSD, XRPUSD, FORTHUSD
FISUSD 4 0.01035 3.66× 52.1% 17.8% ETCUSD, BTCEUR, ILVUSD, NKNUSD, WUSD
TRACUSD 5 0.00941 3.33× 48.4% 38.8% FLRUSD, GFIUSD, AUCTIONUSD, TRUMPUSD, SPELLUSD
HOPRUSD 6 0.00940 3.33× 47.0% 23.5% GFIUSD, NCTUSD, BTCEUR, SNXUSD, WBTCUSD
SWFTCUSD 7 0.00874 3.09× 47.9% 13.9% CTXUSD, ALEOUSD, ZROUSD, UNFIUSD, ZETACHAINUSD
SHPINGUSD 8 0.00868 3.07× 43.6% 12.7% FLOKIUSD, XMRUSD, ACAUSD, AVAXUSD, MLNUSD
OXTUSD 9 0.00799 2.83× 33.1% 20.7% GFIUSD, HOPRUSD, AEVOUSD, AXSUSD, IOUSD
LCXUSD 10 0.00795 2.82× 39.9% 22.1% POLUSD, ASTUSD, XMRUSD, MORPHOUSD, LPTUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-08-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
OCEANUSD 0.011570.00316 +0.00841
ACAUSD 0.013170.00623 +0.00693
TRACUSD 0.009410.00296 +0.00645
SUKUUSD 0.012380.00698 +0.00540
OXTUSD 0.007990.00295 +0.00503

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUTUSD 0.005490.01835 -0.01286
PAXGUSD 0.005590.01705 -0.01146
AERGOUSD 0.002800.00891 -0.00611
XRPBTC 0.001620.00706 -0.00544
JUNOUSD 0.001350.00601 -0.00466

Foreign exchange

ZMWZAR was the most central name, carrying 6.56× the influence of an average node across 550 pairs.

pairs
550
Density
0.042
Clustering
0.416
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZMWZAR 1 0.01193 6.56× 15.3% 10.6% XAUBRL, XAUZAR, DOPGBP, USDEGP, XAUUSD
ARSAUD 2 0.00772 4.24× 16.2% 9.3% BWPZAR, XAGGBP, XAGBRL, XAGTRY, XAGMXN
EGPZAR 3 0.00751 4.13× 10.4% 8.4% SGDZAR, ZARSGD, MXNZAR, ARSUSD, ARSHKD
ZARNGN 4 0.00746 4.11× 9.8% 7.5% SGDZAR, USDRUB, NOKRUB, MXNZAR, XAUBRL
XAUAUD 5 0.00722 3.97× 18.9% 6.9% AUDIDR, CZKNOK, PLNNOK, RUBJPY, BRLARS
USDMUR 6 0.00662 3.64× 3.8% 2.9% COPMXN, CADZAR, JPYRSD, KWDEUR, USDHUF
EURZMW 7 0.00578 3.18× 1.1% 0.2% EURGHS
UYUEUR 8 0.00559 3.08× 3.8% 1.1% GBPBTN, GBPNPR, EURMUR, MXNCLP, USDQAR
EURGHS 9 0.00547 3.01× 0.4% 0.5% EURZMW, GHSEUR, EURPYG
UYUGBP 10 0.00534 2.94× 5.8% 1.5% DOPUSD, DKKCOP, COPDKK, COPCLP, CADCOP

Rising influence vs 2026-08-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURZMW 0.005780.00111 +0.00467
USDUYU 0.005300.00123 +0.00407
ARSAUD 0.007720.00371 +0.00400
XAUAUD 0.007220.00354 +0.00368
ZARJPY 0.004520.00095 +0.00357

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARINR 0.001920.00949 -0.00757
KRWRUB 0.003270.00808 -0.00482
PENCOP 0.000280.00506 -0.00478
BHDEUR 0.000370.00426 -0.00389
XAUGBP 0.002130.00592 -0.00380

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.