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Daily network digest

Friday, May 23, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 8.04× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.090
Clustering
0.298
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03637 8.04× 50.0% 39.1% WBTCUSD, BTCGBP, LTCUSD, LTCEUR, BTTUSD
TRXUSD 2 0.01950 4.31× 34.5% 17.3% AXLUSD, TUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD, JTOUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01940 4.29× 35.5% 7.3% MSOLUSD, SOLUSD, HNTUSD, XRDUSD, ZECUSD
XDCUSD 4 0.01930 4.27× 40.5% 6.4% CVCUSD, UOSUSD, HIGHUSD, STXUSD, TNSRUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.01497 3.31× 28.6% 11.4% FXUSD, FARMUSD, CVCUSD, TRXUSD, 1INCHUSD
XRPUSD 6 0.01490 3.29× 28.6% 11.4% XRDUSD, HIGHUSD, DIAUSD, XDCUSD, AAVEUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01484 3.28× 36.4% 28.2% NEOUSD, CROUSD, BOBAUSD, QIUSD, XDCUSD
XRPAUD 8 0.01474 3.26× 28.6% 6.4% CHREUR, XRDUSD, AAVEUSD, SEIUSD, XAUTUSD
BONDUSD 9 0.01406 3.11× 33.6% 21.8% GNOUSD, LTCAUD, LTCUSD, PYRUSD, XTZUSD
CVCUSD 10 0.01345 2.97× 20.9% 8.2% BTCJPY, LITUSD, ZECUSD, GHSTUSD, XRDUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.036370.00451 +0.03186
XDCUSD 0.019300.00450 +0.01481
CVCUSD 0.013450.00272 +0.01073
XRPUSD 0.014900.00431 +0.01059
XRPAUD 0.014740.00523 +0.00951

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.005930.02359 -0.01766
LCXUSD 0.003420.02051 -0.01709
ELAUSD 0.004990.01707 -0.01209
SRMUSD 0.004230.01568 -0.01145
ETHBTC 0.005110.01581 -0.01070

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 8.37× the influence of an average node across 861 pairs.

pairs
861
Density
0.061
Clustering
0.376
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.00972 8.37× 28.8% 6.6% BRLARS, CADBRL, SEKZAR, SEKRUB, SCRUSD
JPYARS 2 0.00850 7.32× 23.6% 3.5% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLSEK, BRLCHF, BRLKRW
ARSJPY 3 0.00798 6.87× 24.7% 3.0% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLSEK, BRLKRW, EURBRL
AUDBRL 4 0.00786 6.77× 34.9% 8.7% BRLKRW, BRLJPY, JPYBRL, BRLARS, BRLCAD
JPYBRL 5 0.00703 6.05× 22.7% 5.5% XAUJPY, CHFTHB, RUBDKK, COPBRL, MXNBRL
BRLCHF 6 0.00658 5.67× 31.2% 8.7% XAUJPY, XAURUB, BRLKRW, XAUEUR, MXNBRL
BRLJPY 7 0.00637 5.48× 22.2% 5.8% COPBRL, CHFTHB, MXNBRL, XAUJPY, BRLKRW
XAUGBP 8 0.00615 5.30× 35.5% 14.2% ARSJPY, JPYARS, MXNARS, RONUSD, USDRON
CHFBRL 9 0.00614 5.29× 29.7% 7.6% XAUJPY, XAURUB, BRLKRW, XAUARS, XAUEUR
USDCLP 10 0.00608 5.23× 32.9% 8.7% DKKPKR, NZDSEK, GBPARS, HKDARS, ARSHKD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSJPY 0.007980.00083 +0.00715
XAUBRL 0.009720.00274 +0.00698
JPYARS 0.008500.00158 +0.00691
AUDBRL 0.007860.00174 +0.00612
CHFTHB 0.005200.00033 +0.00487

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMUR 0.000330.00620 -0.00587
GBPXPF 0.000570.00637 -0.00581
MYRZAR 0.000370.00610 -0.00573
SEKILS 0.002500.00819 -0.00569
ARSEUR 0.002070.00755 -0.00548

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.