catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, May 22, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.21× the influence of an average node across 221 assets.

assets
221
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.277
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.02359 5.21× 36.4% 10.0% LCXUSD, XYOUSD, SPELLUSD, OMNIUSD, AMPUSD
LCXUSD 2 0.02051 4.53× 35.5% 18.2% SANDUSD, ELAUSD, JASMYUSD, BTTUSD, UOSUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.01718 3.80× 23.6% 23.2% EGLDUSD, BTCGBP, ALPHAUSD, GHSTUSD, NKNUSD
ELAUSD 4 0.01707 3.77× 21.8% 16.4% REPUSD, XRPAUD, HNTUSD, FXUSD, RLCUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.01667 3.68× 33.2% 19.1% AUCTIONUSD, RNDRUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, BADGERUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.01581 3.49× 37.3% 15.9% HNTUSD, WBTCUSD, AUCTIONUSD, RARIUSD, TRXUSD
SRMUSD 7 0.01568 3.47× 27.7% 26.4% KRLUSD, SHIBUSD, SANDUSD, REPUSD, OXTUSD
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01441 3.19× 25.9% 18.2% XRPUSD, DIAUSD, BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCGBP
OMNIUSD 9 0.01417 3.13× 28.2% 4.5% ETHAUD, ELAUSD, DYDXEUR, GALAUSD, CVXUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01385 3.06× 21.4% 8.6% LTCBTC, AUCTIONUSD, SGBUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.023590.00464 +0.01895
ELAUSD 0.017070.00274 +0.01433
SRMUSD 0.015680.00227 +0.01341
LCXUSD 0.020510.01111 +0.00940
OMNIUSD 0.014170.00622 +0.00795

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.016670.03529 -0.01862
KRLUSD 0.010410.02323 -0.01282
REPUSD 0.013850.02404 -0.01019
XDCUSD 0.004500.01354 -0.00904
MIRUSD 0.004190.01181 -0.00762

Foreign exchange

SEKILS was the most central name, carrying 7.37× the influence of an average node across 900 pairs.

pairs
900
Density
0.070
Clustering
0.367
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKILS 1 0.00819 7.37× 8.3% 10.9% BRLKRW, KRWBRL, IDRHKD, SEKUSD, CADRUB
ARSEUR 2 0.00755 6.80× 31.1% 3.2% SEKILS, CHFILS, JPYILS, XAUBRL, JPYCLP
ARSMXN 3 0.00699 6.30× 33.0% 6.9% HUFZAR, XAUUSD, SCRGBP, XAUCNY, ZARHUF
MXNARS 4 0.00697 6.27× 33.0% 6.5% HUFZAR, XAUUSD, SCRGBP, XAUINR, XAUZAR
BRLEUR 5 0.00649 5.84× 1.9% 1.1% EURBWP, EURMWK, EURGYD, BWPEUR, EURLKR
GBPXPF 6 0.00637 5.74× 6.1% 10.8% MYRCAD, KRWJPY, JPYKRW, GBPMYR, MYRGBP
GBPMUR 7 0.00620 5.58× 26.6% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYCAD 8 0.00620 5.58× 26.6% 1.7% BRLSEK, GBPXPF, KRWBRL, TWDSEK, SEKILS
CNYINR 9 0.00618 5.56× 26.7% 1.7% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, TWDSEK, SEKILS, GBPXPF
PENMXN 10 0.00617 5.56× 28.4% 7.5% ZARTRY, ZARMXN, ZMWZAR, XAURUB, VNDJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-05-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.008190.00087 +0.00732
BRLEUR 0.006490.00160 +0.00489
CNYCAD 0.006200.00164 +0.00456
MYRZAR 0.006100.00154 +0.00456
PENMXN 0.006170.00181 +0.00436

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.006370.01775 -0.01138
EURJMD 0.000590.00677 -0.00619
CNYHKD 0.000780.00695 -0.00617
RUBCHF 0.001880.00762 -0.00574
XAUGBP 0.002130.00781 -0.00568

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.