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Daily network digest

Friday, May 16, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.39× the influence of an average node across 223 assets.

assets
223
Density
0.082
Clustering
0.298
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.02419 5.39× 35.6% 8.1% LCXUSD, USTUSD, SPELLUSD, MIRUSD, XYOUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02101 4.68× 41.0% 36.9% OXTUSD, ACHUSD, KAVAUSD, BOBAUSD, ETHAUD
LCXUSD 3 0.02088 4.66× 32.4% 14.4% PNKUSD, SANDUSD, BTTUSD, ELAUSD, FISUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.02053 4.58× 35.1% 17.1% AUCTIONUSD, BTCUSD, PAXGUSD, WBTCUSD, BADGERUSD
TRXUSD 5 0.02030 4.53× 29.3% 24.8% EGLDUSD, ICPUSD, BTCGBP, XTZUSD, NKNUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.01733 3.87× 41.4% 12.2% WBTCUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XRPBTC, TRXUSD, PERPUSD
OMNIUSD 7 0.01537 3.43× 30.6% 6.3% ETHAUD, ELAUSD, GALAUSD, DYDXEUR, SWFTCUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.01502 3.35× 28.4% 12.2% YFIUSD, TRXUSD, RUNEUSD, BTRSTUSD, IOTXUSD
ELAUSD 9 0.01432 3.19× 19.8% 19.8% REPUSD, IMXUSD, XRPAUD, FXUSD, RLCUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01373 3.06× 22.5% 5.4% XAUTUSD, TIAUSD, ARKMUSD, XRDUSD, AXLUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.024190.00440 +0.01979
PAXGUSD 0.021010.00769 +0.01332
ELAUSD 0.014320.00286 +0.01146
LCXUSD 0.020880.01047 +0.01040
OMNIUSD 0.015370.00655 +0.00882

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.020530.03504 -0.01451
REPUSD 0.010770.02329 -0.01252
XDCUSD 0.003680.01337 -0.00969
LTCBTC 0.009830.01816 -0.00833
KRLUSD 0.010230.01829 -0.00807

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 8.28× the influence of an average node across 863 pairs.

pairs
863
Density
0.061
Clustering
0.371
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.00960 8.28× 28.3% 5.7% CADBRL, BRLARS, XAURUB, SEKRUB, ARSBRL
JPYARS 2 0.00835 7.20× 22.6% 3.1% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, EURBRL, BRLSEK, BRLKRW
ARSJPY 3 0.00741 6.40× 24.0% 2.8% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLSEK, EURBRL, SGDBRL
AUDBRL 4 0.00729 6.29× 34.2% 9.0% BRLKRW, BRLARS, JPYBRL, BRLJPY, XAUBRL
JPYBRL 5 0.00702 6.06× 21.8% 5.8% CHFTHB, XAUJPY, RUBDKK, COPBRL, KRWMYR
BRLJPY 6 0.00632 5.45× 21.9% 6.1% CHFTHB, COPBRL, JPYTHB, BRLKRW, KRWMYR
BRLCHF 7 0.00622 5.37× 31.3% 8.9% XAURUB, XAUJPY, MXNBRL, BRLKRW, JPYMXN
COPUSD 8 0.00611 5.27× 33.2% 9.7% ILSCHF, SCRGBP, CHFILS, ZARIDR, THBUSD
CHFBRL 9 0.00601 5.19× 30.6% 8.0% XAUJPY, XAURUB, BRLKRW, COPUSD, XAUEUR
XAUGBP 10 0.00599 5.17× 35.0% 13.6% MXNARS, ARSJPY, USDRON, JPYARS, RONUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSJPY 0.007410.00066 +0.00675
JPYARS 0.008350.00160 +0.00674
XAUBRL 0.009600.00286 +0.00674
AUDBRL 0.007290.00170 +0.00559
CHFTHB 0.005080.00031 +0.00478

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMUR 0.000280.00682 -0.00654
MYRZAR 0.000380.00671 -0.00633
ARSEUR 0.002010.00831 -0.00630
USDDOP 0.000230.00613 -0.00590
GBPXPF 0.000470.00597 -0.00550

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.