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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 15, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.81× the influence of an average node across 223 assets.

assets
223
Density
0.101
Clustering
0.332
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03504 7.81× 67.1% 9.0% AERGOUSD, AAVEUSD, TUSD, LCXUSD, XMRUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02329 5.19× 41.4% 23.9% ABTUSD, TRXUSD, MASKUSD, BANDUSD, RLCUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.02081 4.64× 40.1% 15.8% FOXUSD, LCXUSD, BTCJPY, ABTUSD, BADGERUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01829 4.08× 42.3% 11.3% TRXUSD, XRPBTC, ETHAUD, COTIUSD, NEARUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01816 4.05× 34.2% 30.2% NEARUSD, TUSD, RNDRUSD, TRBUSD, DARUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.01659 3.70× 31.1% 21.6% IOTXUSD, KRLUSD, NCTUSD, XMRUSD, XLMUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01389 3.10× 32.4% 6.8% XTZUSD, TRXUSD, XRPBTC, XRDUSD, MIRUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.01375 3.07× 37.4% 7.2% REPUSD, LOKAUSD, LCXUSD, TUSD, METISUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.01337 2.98× 37.8% 18.5% PERPUSD, WUSD, WEUR, ALPHAUSD, CHZUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01278 2.85× 33.3% 23.4% BTCAUD, TRXUSD, FISUSD, CRVUSD, WBTCUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.035040.01211 +0.02293
REPUSD 0.023290.00624 +0.01705
LTCBTC 0.018160.00492 +0.01324
ETHBTC 0.013890.00533 +0.00856
PNKUSD 0.013750.00570 +0.00804

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.005690.03457 -0.02888
XAUTUSD 0.005170.02349 -0.01832
PAXGUSD 0.007690.01994 -0.01225
CVCUSD 0.002600.01220 -0.00960
UOSUSD 0.002590.01208 -0.00950

Foreign exchange

ARSEUR was the most central name, carrying 7.56× the influence of an average node across 910 pairs.

pairs
910
Density
0.066
Clustering
0.359
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSEUR 1 0.00831 7.56× 30.5% 3.5% SEKILS, CHFILS, XAUBRL, ILSCHF, JPYILS
BRLEUR 2 0.00801 7.29× 2.1% 1.9% EURLRD, EURBWP, BWPEUR, EURLKR, EURLBP
SEKILS 3 0.00775 7.05× 7.5% 9.9% BRLKRW, CADRUB, IDRHKD, BRLSEK, KRWBRL
MXNARS 4 0.00705 6.41× 29.9% 6.5% HUFZAR, XAUCNY, XAUUSD, SEKILS, CHFBRL
GBPMUR 5 0.00682 6.21× 25.7% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
CNYINR 6 0.00680 6.19× 25.6% 1.5% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, GBPXPF, TWDSEK, GBPBRL
ARSSGD 7 0.00679 6.18× 25.6% 3.0% SEKILS, ILSCHF, CHFILS, JPYCLP, KRWBRL
ARSHKD 8 0.00678 6.17× 25.6% 3.1% SEKILS, CHFILS, ILSCHF, KRWBRL, JPYCLP
ARSUSD 9 0.00678 6.17× 25.7% 2.6% SEKILS, ILSCHF, CHFILS, JPYCLP, KRWBRL
CNYCAD 10 0.00678 6.17× 25.6% 1.7% KRWBRL, BRLSEK, GBPXPF, TWDSEK, GBPBRL

Rising influence vs 2025-05-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.007750.00087 +0.00687
USDDOP 0.006130.00027 +0.00586
CNYCAD 0.006780.00180 +0.00498
MYRZAR 0.006710.00177 +0.00494
BRLEUR 0.008010.00308 +0.00493

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.005970.01718 -0.01121
CADARS 0.001190.00743 -0.00624
ARSGBP 0.001190.00742 -0.00622
CHFRUB 0.001890.00768 -0.00579
RUBCHF 0.001890.00727 -0.00537

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.