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Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.71× the influence of an average node across 223 assets.

assets
223
Density
0.086
Clustering
0.299
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03457 7.71× 49.5% 38.3% LTCUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCGBP, BTTUSD, ASMUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02349 5.24× 46.8% 32.9% BOBAUSD, CROUSD, NEOUSD, XDCUSD, XRPBTC
PAXGUSD 3 0.01994 4.45× 36.5% 17.6% BOBAUSD, NANOUSD, BONDUSD, QIUSD, LUNAUSD
XDCUSD 4 0.01980 4.41× 39.2% 8.6% CVCUSD, FORTHUSD, SOLUSD, ORNUSD, UOSUSD
XRPAUD 5 0.01722 3.84× 31.5% 5.0% CHREUR, ORNUSD, XAUTUSD, AAVEUSD, XRDUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01670 3.72× 34.7% 4.5% MSOLUSD, SOLUSD, XRDUSD, HNTUSD, ZECUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.01590 3.55× 28.8% 13.1% XDCUSD, AXLUSD, STXUSD, QNTUSD, TUSD
XRPUSD 8 0.01530 3.41× 26.6% 8.6% SEIUSD, XRDUSD, HIGHUSD, XAUTUSD, OMGUSD
OXYUSD 9 0.01430 3.19× 26.6% 27.5% CTSIUSD, SHIBUSD, SNXUSD, TRBUSD, QTUMUSD
ORNUSD 10 0.01304 2.91× 24.3% 13.1% DOTUSD, RENUSD, RUNEUSD, JTOUSD, MDTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.034570.00413 +0.03044
XDCUSD 0.019800.00349 +0.01631
XRPAUD 0.017220.00501 +0.01220
XAUTUSD 0.023490.01178 +0.01171
XRPUSD 0.015300.00500 +0.01030

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LCXUSD 0.003360.02074 -0.01738
HNTUSD 0.009850.02422 -0.01437
ETHBTC 0.005330.01834 -0.01301
OMNIUSD 0.004460.01520 -0.01074
ELAUSD 0.006380.01569 -0.00931

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 14.76× the influence of an average node across 859 pairs.

pairs
859
Density
0.080
Clustering
0.392
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.01718 14.76× 5.9% 8.3% ILSJPY, JPYIDR, JPYILS, INRJPY, THBTWD
DOPUSD 2 0.00969 8.32× 3.3% 1.0% CHFRSD, GBPRSD, RSDGBP, GHSUSD, JPYRSD
CHFRUB 3 0.00768 6.60× 22.5% 18.6% CADBRL, XAGEUR, HKDBRL, SEKAUD, XAGAUD
ARSSGD 4 0.00744 6.39× 16.0% 1.2% GBPXPF, XAUGBP, RUBDKK, XAUBRL, CHFRUB
ARSHKD 5 0.00744 6.39× 16.1% 1.0% GBPXPF, XAUGBP, RUBCHF, DKKRUB, CHFRUB
CADARS 6 0.00743 6.39× 16.1% 1.3% GBPXPF, SEKRUB, RUBDKK, XAUGBP, COPMXN
ARSGBP 7 0.00742 6.37× 16.1% 1.3% GBPXPF, XAUGBP, COPMXN, SEKRUB, RUBSEK
ARSUSD 8 0.00739 6.34× 16.1% 0.9% GBPXPF, COPMXN, XAUGBP, XAUSAR, SEKRUB
CNYINR 9 0.00738 6.34× 16.1% 0.1% GBPXPF
USDARS 10 0.00737 6.33× 16.1% 0.9% GBPXPF, RUBDKK, DKKRUB, RUBCHF, XAUGBP

Rising influence vs 2025-05-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.017180.00050 +0.01668
DOPUSD 0.009690.00397 +0.00571
ARSSGD 0.007440.00201 +0.00542
ARSHKD 0.007440.00203 +0.00541
CADARS 0.007430.00203 +0.00540

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYARS 0.001490.01074 -0.00925
AUDBRL 0.001370.00787 -0.00651
XAUBRL 0.006170.01179 -0.00561
EURCRC 0.000250.00582 -0.00557
COPUSD 0.000950.00617 -0.00522

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.