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Daily network digest

Tuesday, May 13, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.40× the influence of an average node across 223 assets.

assets
223
Density
0.081
Clustering
0.291
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.02422 5.40× 36.9% 8.6% XYOUSD, LCXUSD, USTUSD, OMNIUSD, LQTYUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02080 4.64× 39.6% 34.7% OXTUSD, ACHUSD, BOBAUSD, KAVAUSD, ETHAUD
LCXUSD 3 0.02074 4.63× 32.0% 11.3% ELAUSD, SANDUSD, BTTUSD, PNKUSD, CTSIUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.02005 4.47× 36.0% 18.0% AUCTIONUSD, BTCUSD, PAXGUSD, BALUSD, AERGOUSD
ETHBTC 5 0.01834 4.09× 41.0% 12.2% AUCTIONUSD, WBTCUSD, BTTUSD, BTCUSD, RARIUSD
TRXUSD 6 0.01697 3.78× 23.9% 21.2% EGLDUSD, ICPUSD, GHSTUSD, BTCGBP, ALPHAUSD
XRDUSD 7 0.01632 3.64× 31.1% 13.5% YFIUSD, CGLDUSD, RUNEUSD, TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD
ELAUSD 8 0.01569 3.50× 20.3% 18.9% RLCUSD, REPUSD, IMXUSD, XRPAUD, IOTXUSD
OMNIUSD 9 0.01520 3.39× 29.7% 5.4% ETHAUD, GALAUSD, ELAUSD, DYDXEUR, FORTUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.01309 2.92× 23.0% 18.0% XRPUSD, DIAUSD, XRPAUD, BTCUSD, BTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2025-05-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.024220.00331 +0.02092
ELAUSD 0.015690.00258 +0.01311
PAXGUSD 0.020800.00779 +0.01301
LCXUSD 0.020740.01005 +0.01069
OMNIUSD 0.015200.00489 +0.01031

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.020050.03389 -0.01385
REPUSD 0.009990.02368 -0.01369
XDCUSD 0.003490.01291 -0.00942
LTCBTC 0.010210.01870 -0.00849
KRLUSD 0.012500.01895 -0.00644

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 10.05× the influence of an average node across 853 pairs.

pairs
853
Density
0.060
Clustering
0.385
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.01179 10.05× 27.1% 5.4% CADBRL, BRLARS, XAURUB, SCRUSD, ZARNGN
JPYARS 2 0.01074 9.16× 22.8% 3.3% JPYBRL, BRLJPY, BRLSEK, EURBRL, BRLKRW
AUDBRL 3 0.00787 6.72× 34.2% 8.1% BRLKRW, BRLJPY, BRLARS, XAUBRL, BRLCAD
JPYBRL 4 0.00642 5.48× 21.2% 6.0% CHFTHB, RUBDKK, KRWMYR, JPYTHB, COPBRL
COPUSD 5 0.00617 5.26× 33.0% 8.8% SCRGBP, CHFILS, ILSCHF, GBPILS, THBUSD
CHFBRL 6 0.00612 5.22× 29.6% 6.6% XAUJPY, BRLKRW, XAURUB, COPUSD, XAUEUR
USDCLP 7 0.00602 5.13× 31.2% 8.9% DKKPKR, NZDIDR, AEDGBP, GBPJOD, ARSUSD
XAUGBP 8 0.00601 5.13× 34.4% 12.2% JPYARS, RONUSD, IDRKRW, USDRON, MXNARS
COPBRL 9 0.00587 5.00× 33.1% 17.4% HKDBRL, RUBCHF, BRLKRW, BRLHKD, SEKRUB
EURCRC 10 0.00582 4.96× 2.5% 0.2% BRLEUR, USDXPF

Rising influence vs 2025-05-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.011790.00234 +0.00944
JPYARS 0.010740.00156 +0.00918
AUDBRL 0.007870.00163 +0.00624
EURCRC 0.005820.00070 +0.00512
CHFTHB 0.005110.00030 +0.00480

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMUR 0.000310.00684 -0.00653
MYRZAR 0.000350.00674 -0.00639
USDDOP 0.000240.00657 -0.00633
ARSEUR 0.002230.00827 -0.00604
GBPXPF 0.000500.00640 -0.00590

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.