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Daily network digest

Monday, May 12, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.59× the influence of an average node across 224 assets.

assets
224
Density
0.099
Clustering
0.335
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03389 7.59× 63.7% 9.0% AERGOUSD, AAVEUSD, XMRUSD, TUSD, STORJUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02368 5.30× 38.6% 19.7% TRXUSD, ABTUSD, RLCUSD, BANDUSD, MASKUSD
TRXUSD 3 0.02184 4.89× 39.0% 13.5% LCXUSD, FOXUSD, BTCJPY, BADGERUSD, ABTUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01895 4.24× 41.3% 8.1% TRXUSD, ETHAUD, XRPBTC, NEARUSD, CRVUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01870 4.19× 35.0% 27.4% NEARUSD, TUSD, ARPAUSD, DARUSD, FOXUSD
GYENUSD 6 0.01475 3.30× 38.6% 49.3% SUSHIUSD, DOGEUSD, FETUSD, XLMUSD, QNTUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01411 3.16× 33.2% 9.9% XTZUSD, TRXUSD, XRDUSD, TIAUSD, MIRUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.01391 3.12× 37.7% 7.6% REPUSD, TUSD, METISUSD, LOKAUSD, RNDRUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.01348 3.02× 28.7% 22.9% IOTXUSD, WBTCUSD, NCTUSD, KRLUSD, XLMUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.01291 2.89× 37.2% 16.6% PERPUSD, ALPHAUSD, WUSD, SEIEUR, GHSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.033890.00942 +0.02448
REPUSD 0.023680.00573 +0.01795
LTCBTC 0.018700.00522 +0.01347
TRXUSD 0.021840.01136 +0.01048
PNKUSD 0.013910.00457 +0.00934

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.004870.03668 -0.03181
XAUTUSD 0.005180.02555 -0.02037
PAXGUSD 0.007790.02201 -0.01422
UOSUSD 0.001660.01366 -0.01200
CVCUSD 0.002820.00998 -0.00716

Foreign exchange

BRLEUR was the most central name, carrying 8.10× the influence of an average node across 911 pairs.

pairs
911
Density
0.064
Clustering
0.344
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLEUR 1 0.00889 8.10× 2.3% 2.1% EURLRD, BWPEUR, KYDEUR, EURLKR, EURCRC
ARSEUR 2 0.00827 7.54× 29.5% 2.2% SEKILS, JPYILS, ILSCHF, CHFILS, JPYCLP
SEKILS 3 0.00805 7.33× 7.1% 8.0% BRLKRW, SEKUSD, VNDCAD, KRWBRL, JPYBRL
MXNARS 4 0.00720 6.56× 30.4% 6.0% HUFZAR, XAUUSD, SCRGBP, CHFBRL, XAUCNY
ARSUSD 5 0.00688 6.27× 25.2% 2.9% SEKILS, ILSCHF, CHFILS, JPYCLP, KRWBRL
ARSSGD 6 0.00686 6.25× 25.2% 2.4% SEKILS, ILSCHF, CHFILS, JPYCLP, KRWBRL
GBPMUR 7 0.00684 6.23× 25.2% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK
ARSHKD 8 0.00684 6.23× 24.9% 2.3% SEKILS, CHFILS, ILSCHF, JPYCLP, KRWBRL
USDARS 9 0.00683 6.22× 24.8% 2.6% SEKILS, CHFILS, ILSCHF, KRWBRL, JPYCLP
CNYINR 10 0.00683 6.22× 25.2% 1.5% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, TWDSEK, GBPXPF, GBPBRL

Rising influence vs 2025-05-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMUR 0.006840.00032 +0.00652
MYRZAR 0.006740.00034 +0.00640
USDDOP 0.006570.00026 +0.00631
ARSEUR 0.008270.00220 +0.00607
BRLEUR 0.008890.00291 +0.00598

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.002340.01165 -0.00931
JPYARS 0.001560.01059 -0.00903
AUDBRL 0.001630.00855 -0.00692
CHFTHB 0.000300.00496 -0.00466
CHFINR 0.000300.00489 -0.00459

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.