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Daily network digest

Friday, May 9, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.20× the influence of an average node across 224 assets.

assets
224
Density
0.103
Clustering
0.334
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02769 6.20× 45.7% 22.0% ABTUSD, TRXUSD, MASKUSD, BANDUSD, UMAUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02548 5.71× 53.8% 11.7% AERGOUSD, TNSRUSD, XMRUSD, AAVEUSD, ASTUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01928 4.32× 44.8% 12.6% TRXUSD, COTIUSD, XRPBTC, ETHAUD, NEARUSD
TRXUSD 4 0.01806 4.05× 34.1% 13.5% FOXUSD, LCXUSD, BTCJPY, BADGERUSD, ABTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01741 3.90× 35.0% 22.0% NEARUSD, TUSD, TRXUSD, TRBUSD, ARPAUSD
PNKUSD 6 0.01507 3.38× 40.4% 9.0% REPUSD, TUSD, METISUSD, LOKAUSD, TRXUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.01470 3.29× 39.5% 16.1% PERPUSD, ALPHAUSD, GHSTUSD, SEIEUR, ROSEUSD
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01467 3.29× 26.5% 22.4% CROUSD, IOTXUSD, KRLUSD, WBTCUSD, TRXUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.01415 3.17× 34.1% 16.6% MIRUSD, XTZUSD, REPUSD, TRXUSD, XRPBTC
WBTCUSD 10 0.01229 2.75× 28.3% 9.4% REPUSD, XRPBTC, RARIUSD, YFIUSD, ORNUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.027690.00551 +0.02219
XRPBTC 0.025480.01183 +0.01365
LTCBTC 0.017410.00413 +0.01329
PNKUSD 0.015070.00490 +0.01017
ETHBTC 0.014150.00533 +0.00882

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.005840.03083 -0.02498
XAUTUSD 0.004400.02356 -0.01915
GYENUSD 0.010820.02433 -0.01352
PAXGUSD 0.007210.01798 -0.01077
MSOLUSD 0.002190.01249 -0.01030

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 9.99× the influence of an average node across 857 pairs.

pairs
857
Density
0.059
Clustering
0.378
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.01165 9.99× 26.2% 7.0% CADBRL, BRLARS, XAURUB, SCRGBP, SEKRUB
JPYARS 2 0.01059 9.08× 22.2% 2.5% JPYBRL, EURBRL, BRLJPY, BRLSEK, JPYILS
AUDBRL 3 0.00855 7.33× 34.0% 7.8% BRLKRW, BRLJPY, JPYBRL, BRLARS, BRLCHF
USDCLP 4 0.00654 5.60× 31.3% 8.4% DKKPKR, THBHKD, GBPHTG, CNYINR, CNYCAD
COPUSD 5 0.00609 5.22× 32.6% 9.0% ILSCHF, CHFILS, THBUSD, GBPILS, ZAREGP
COPBRL 6 0.00598 5.13× 34.0% 17.1% NZDSEK, BRLHKD, CHFBRL, BRLKRW, BRLUSD
XAUEUR 7 0.00569 4.88× 35.9% 10.3% THBUSD, BRLSEK, USDRON, JPYARS, MXNARS
KRWBRL 8 0.00559 4.79× 22.9% 5.8% BRLKRW, PHPUSD, XAGRUB, AUDBRL, RUBSEK
DOPUSD 9 0.00559 4.79× 4.7% 0.6% GHSUSD, GBPGHS, GHSGBP, COPCLP, CLPCOP
CHFRUB 10 0.00551 4.72× 27.1% 11.9% BRLKRW, BRLCHF, RUBNOK, COPBRL, CNYZAR

Rising influence vs 2025-05-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYARS 0.010590.00139 +0.00920
XAUBRL 0.011650.00295 +0.00870
AUDBRL 0.008550.00167 +0.00689
CHFTHB 0.004960.00031 +0.00465
CHFINR 0.004890.00031 +0.00458

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.000530.00842 -0.00789
BRLEUR 0.002910.01074 -0.00783
USDDOP 0.000260.00673 -0.00647
GBPMUR 0.000320.00676 -0.00644
MYRZAR 0.000340.00663 -0.00629

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.