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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 8, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 6.91× the influence of an average node across 224 assets.

assets
224
Density
0.097
Clustering
0.316
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03083 6.91× 53.4% 31.8% LTCUSD, BTTUSD, ASMUSD, BTCAUD, WBTCUSD
GYENUSD 2 0.02433 5.45× 52.9% 20.6% FOXUSD, BTCUSD, API3USD, UMAUSD, BTCGBP
XAUTUSD 3 0.02356 5.28× 53.8% 19.3% XRPBTC, BOBAUSD, XDCUSD, CROUSD, NEOUSD
XDCUSD 4 0.01907 4.27× 43.0% 10.3% UOSUSD, OMGUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, CVCUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.01798 4.03× 39.9% 5.4% GYENUSD, BOBAUSD, BONDUSD, ARKMUSD, NANOUSD
XRPAUD 6 0.01426 3.20× 30.5% 7.6% XAUTUSD, GYENUSD, XRDUSD, CHREUR, ORNUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01331 2.98× 30.5% 7.2% SOLUSD, XRDUSD, TRXUSD, HNTUSD, BTRSTUSD
XRPUSD 8 0.01307 2.93× 27.4% 10.8% XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, SEIUSD, FORTHUSD, GYENUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01303 2.92× 30.0% 16.6% XDCUSD, QNTUSD, TUSD, AXLUSD, KEEPUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.01253 2.81× 25.1% 17.0% DOGEUSD, ELAUSD, RARIUSD, FXUSD, ARPAUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.030830.00556 +0.02527
XDCUSD 0.019070.00373 +0.01533
GYENUSD 0.024330.01029 +0.01404
XAUTUSD 0.023560.01330 +0.01026
XRPAUD 0.014260.00530 +0.00896

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.008090.02977 -0.02168
LCXUSD 0.003430.02503 -0.02159
ETHBTC 0.005330.02165 -0.01631
ELAUSD 0.004420.01398 -0.00956
LTCBTC 0.004130.01254 -0.00841

Foreign exchange

BRLEUR was the most central name, carrying 9.76× the influence of an average node across 909 pairs.

pairs
909
Density
0.064
Clustering
0.343
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLEUR 1 0.01074 9.76× 2.3% 2.0% EURLRD, EURBWP, BWPEUR, KYDEUR, EURSVC
GBPXPF 2 0.00842 7.65× 4.3% 10.8% MYRGBP, MYRCAD, JPYKRW, KRWJPY, GBPMYR
ARSEUR 3 0.00834 7.58× 29.6% 0.9% GBPXPF, SEKILS, NOKZAR, CADNOK, XAUBRL
SEKILS 4 0.00817 7.43× 7.5% 9.1% BRLKRW, JPYBRL, VNDCAD, KRWBRL, BRLSEK
MXNARS 5 0.00715 6.50× 29.7% 5.8% HUFZAR, BRLSEK, SCRGBP, GBPBRL, CZKZAR
TWDSEK 6 0.00689 6.26× 14.6% 14.2% BRLKRW, SGDJPY, AUDMXN, XAGGBP, SGDBRL
ARSSGD 7 0.00677 6.16× 25.1% 1.3% KRWBRL, BRLSEK, SEKILS, GBPXPF, TWDSEK
ARSUSD 8 0.00677 6.16× 25.0% 1.3% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, TWDSEK, GBPXPF, SEKILS
ARSHKD 9 0.00677 6.15× 24.9% 1.4% KRWBRL, BRLSEK, TWDSEK, SEKILS, GBPBRL
GBPMUR 10 0.00676 6.14× 25.1% 0.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, TWDSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-05-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKILS 0.008170.00053 +0.00765
USDDOP 0.006730.00026 +0.00647
MYRZAR 0.006630.00043 +0.00620
BRLSEK 0.006060.00082 +0.00524
CNYCAD 0.006750.00164 +0.00511

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.008420.03332 -0.02490
COPMXN 0.003920.01583 -0.01191
USDSOS 0.001150.01139 -0.01024
CADARS 0.001150.00752 -0.00637
ARSGBP 0.001160.00749 -0.00634

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.