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Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.52× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.092
Clustering
0.299
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.02977 6.52× 45.9% 7.3% LCXUSD, XYOUSD, SPELLUSD, XRDUSD, MIRUSD
LCXUSD 2 0.02503 5.48× 41.7% 14.2% ELAUSD, PNKUSD, TRACUSD, SANDUSD, BTTUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02220 4.86× 49.1% 12.4% OXTUSD, HNTUSD, UOSUSD, ACHUSD, RLCUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.02165 4.74× 52.8% 24.3% AUCTIONUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, BOBAUSD, METISUSD
BONDUSD 5 0.01631 3.57× 34.4% 28.0% PERPUSD, ALCXUSD, HNTUSD, GTCUSD, IMXUSD
ELAUSD 6 0.01398 3.06× 21.6% 22.5% REPUSD, XRPAUD, XRPUSD, FXUSD, IMXUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01330 2.91× 28.0% 10.1% WBTCUSD, APEUSD, BTCAUD, RLCUSD, ACHUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.01325 2.90× 27.1% 18.8% YFIUSD, BTRSTUSD, BONDUSD, OXTUSD, EOSUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01314 2.88× 26.1% 10.6% TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, FISUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.01254 2.75× 25.2% 12.4% TRXUSD, RENUSD, ETHUSD, 1INCHUSD, AERGOUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.029770.00271 +0.02706
LCXUSD 0.025030.00842 +0.01661
PAXGUSD 0.022200.00761 +0.01459
ELAUSD 0.013980.00288 +0.01110
BONDUSD 0.016310.00657 +0.00974

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.008840.02741 -0.01857
XRPBTC 0.008870.02507 -0.01620
XDCUSD 0.003730.01278 -0.00905
KRLUSD 0.009980.01876 -0.00879
XRPAUD 0.005300.01279 -0.00749

Foreign exchange

GBPXPF was the most central name, carrying 28.66× the influence of an average node across 860 pairs.

pairs
860
Density
0.078
Clustering
0.373
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPXPF 1 0.03332 28.66× 5.7% 7.5% ILSJPY, JPYIDR, JPYILS, INRJPY, TWDUSD
COPMXN 2 0.01583 13.61× 27.7% 15.5% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, XAGKRW, CHFMXN, NZDMXN
BRLEUR 3 0.01253 10.78× 2.1% 0.1% USDSOS
USDSOS 4 0.01139 9.80× 0.2% 0.1% BRLEUR
DOPUSD 5 0.01082 9.31× 3.4% 1.2% GBPRSD, CHFRSD, GHSUSD, EURRSD, RSDGBP
CADARS 6 0.00752 6.47× 16.1% 0.2% GBPXPF, COPMXN
CNYINR 7 0.00751 6.46× 16.1% 0.1% GBPXPF
ARSUSD 8 0.00751 6.46× 16.1% 0.2% GBPXPF, COPMXN
USDARS 9 0.00750 6.45× 16.1% 0.2% GBPXPF, COPMXN
ARSSGD 10 0.00750 6.45× 15.9% 0.2% GBPXPF, COPMXN

Rising influence vs 2025-05-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.033320.00056 +0.03276
COPMXN 0.015830.00533 +0.01050
BRLEUR 0.012530.00303 +0.00950
USDSOS 0.011390.00248 +0.00891
DOPUSD 0.010820.00528 +0.00554

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYARS 0.000750.01351 -0.01276
XAUBRL 0.003860.01549 -0.01163
AUDBRL 0.001260.00835 -0.00710
COPUSD 0.000810.00629 -0.00548
USDCLP 0.001160.00623 -0.00507

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.