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Daily network digest

Friday, May 2, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.70× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.332
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.03517 7.70× 51.8% 40.8% LTCUSD, BTTUSD, LTCAUD, LTCEUR, WBTCUSD
GYENUSD 2 0.03011 6.59× 54.6% 24.3% DSHUSD, BOBAUSD, FOXUSD, TRBUSD, GHSTUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02545 5.57× 54.1% 22.5% BOBAUSD, XRPBTC, CROUSD, XDCUSD, ETHUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.01999 4.38× 39.4% 8.7% BOBAUSD, BONDUSD, NANOUSD, QIUSD, LITUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01842 4.03× 40.8% 7.3% UOSUSD, SOLUSD, CVCUSD, GYENUSD, NEXOUSD
XRPAUD 6 0.01488 3.26× 29.4% 7.3% XAUTUSD, CHREUR, AAVEUSD, XRDUSD, BTCJPY
TRXUSD 7 0.01476 3.23× 34.9% 17.0% QNTUSD, XDCUSD, DSHUSD, TUSD, BTCAUD
ORNUSD 8 0.01368 3.00× 32.1% 9.6% DOTUSD, RENUSD, AIOZUSD, ABTUSD, IOTXUSD
UOSUSD 9 0.01326 2.90× 24.8% 9.6% JTOUSD, BTCJPY, ETHBTC, FISUSD, BTTUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.01293 2.83× 23.9% 20.6% DOGEUSD, ELAUSD, RARIUSD, ETHAUD, LINKUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-05-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.035170.00550 +0.02967
GYENUSD 0.030110.01220 +0.01791
XDCUSD 0.018420.00461 +0.01381
XRPAUD 0.014880.00527 +0.00961
XRPUSD 0.012920.00430 +0.00862

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.019990.03551 -0.01552
LCXUSD 0.003410.01868 -0.01526
ETHBTC 0.006930.02153 -0.01460
HNTUSD 0.008980.02245 -0.01347
PNKUSD 0.006760.01727 -0.01051

Foreign exchange

XAUBRL was the most central name, carrying 14.43× the influence of an average node across 823 pairs.

pairs
823
Density
0.061
Clustering
0.388
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUBRL 1 0.01754 14.43× 27.4% 5.8% CADBRL, XAURUB, BRLARS, SCRUSD, XAUARS
JPYARS 2 0.01419 11.68× 18.2% 3.5% BRLSEK, SGDBRL, JPYBRL, EURBRL, JPYILS
AUDBRL 3 0.00799 6.58× 36.7% 9.0% BRLKRW, BRLJPY, CHFBRL, XAUBRL, JPYBRL
USDQAR 4 0.00704 5.79× 2.1% 0.2% EURNGN, EURLYD
COPMXN 5 0.00699 5.75× 28.2% 8.4% COPUSD, XAUMXN, THBUSD, BRLCOP, RUBSEK
COPUSD 6 0.00626 5.15× 34.5% 10.2% ILSCHF, CHFILS, THBUSD, EGPZAR, GBPILS
COPBRL 7 0.00613 5.04× 35.4% 18.1% CHFBRL, BRLHKD, NZDSEK, SEKRUB, BRLKRW
USDCLP 8 0.00601 4.95× 32.1% 9.5% DKKPKR, KRWIDR, NZDIDR, KRWCNY, ARSGBP
XAUARS 9 0.00595 4.89× 33.9% 11.3% JPYCLP, THBUSD, KRWMYR, XAUAUD, JPYBRL
XAUEUR 10 0.00556 4.57× 34.5% 11.9% THBUSD, BRLSEK, NOKILS, KRWBRL, ZAREGP

Rising influence vs 2025-05-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUBRL 0.017540.00293 +0.01461
JPYARS 0.014190.00071 +0.01348
AUDBRL 0.007990.00176 +0.00623
USDQAR 0.007040.00117 +0.00587
CHFTHB 0.005120.00030 +0.00482

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLEUR 0.003420.01205 -0.00863
GBPXPF 0.000560.00827 -0.00771
ARSEUR 0.001560.00860 -0.00704
MYRZAR 0.000320.00706 -0.00674
USDDOP 0.000310.00705 -0.00674

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.