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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 1, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.78× the influence of an average node across 219 assets.

assets
219
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.301
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03551 7.78× 62.8% 16.1% OXTUSD, ACHUSD, UOSUSD, RLCUSD, OMGUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02245 4.92× 37.2% 6.9% LCXUSD, XRDUSD, XYOUSD, TRBUSD, TRXUSD
ETHBTC 3 0.02153 4.72× 54.1% 23.4% WBTCUSD, AUCTIONUSD, BOBAUSD, BTCAUD, MLNUSD
LCXUSD 4 0.01868 4.09× 29.4% 12.8% PNKUSD, FARMUSD, ELAUSD, ORCAUSD, BTTUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01834 4.02× 35.3% 15.1% WBTCUSD, RLCUSD, UOSUSD, ACHUSD, BTCEUR
PNKUSD 6 0.01727 3.78× 30.7% 13.3% XAUTUSD, TIAUSD, ETHUSD, DYDXEUR, RENUSD
BONDUSD 7 0.01487 3.26× 31.2% 29.8% ALCXUSD, PERPUSD, IMXUSD, FARMUSD, DASHUSD
ZECUSD 8 0.01343 2.94× 25.7% 9.6% LCXUSD, INJUSD, LTCBTC, ELAUSD, OXYUSD
XRDUSD 9 0.01274 2.79× 23.9% 10.1% YFIUSD, BTRSTUSD, CGLDUSD, OXTUSD, RUNEUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.01238 2.71× 25.2% 6.9% TRXUSD, PAXGUSD, 1INCHUSD, RENUSD, ETHUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.035510.00739 +0.02812
HNTUSD 0.022450.00392 +0.01853
XAUTUSD 0.018340.00497 +0.01337
LCXUSD 0.018680.00870 +0.00998
ZECUSD 0.013430.00387 +0.00956

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.008460.02716 -0.01870
XRPBTC 0.010090.02548 -0.01539
XDCUSD 0.004610.01420 -0.00959
KRLUSD 0.008840.01824 -0.00940
TRXUSD 0.011520.01915 -0.00763

Foreign exchange

BRLEUR was the most central name, carrying 10.76× the influence of an average node across 893 pairs.

pairs
893
Density
0.065
Clustering
0.349
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLEUR 1 0.01205 10.76× 2.2% 1.9% BWPEUR, EURLRD, EURIQD, EURBOB, EURSVC
ARSEUR 2 0.00860 7.68× 30.4% 1.3% GBPXPF, SEKILS, NOKZAR, CADNOK, XAUBRL
GBPXPF 3 0.00827 7.39× 4.4% 5.6% TWDSEK, XAGBRL, JPYKRW, MYRZAR, THBGBP
SEKILS 4 0.00784 7.01× 7.7% 8.7% BRLKRW, KRWBRL, VNDCAD, JPYBRL, SEKUSD
MXNARS 5 0.00748 6.68× 30.6% 6.2% HUFZAR, SCRGBP, BRLSEK, CZKZAR, ZARHUF
TWDSEK 6 0.00724 6.47× 15.5% 12.8% BRLKRW, XAGEUR, SGDJPY, GBPMXN, AUDMXN
MYRZAR 7 0.00706 6.31× 26.9% 8.4% VNDJPY, MYRUSD, INRMYR, SEKUSD, CZKZAR
USDDOP 8 0.00705 6.30× 11.2% 1.0% JPYRSD, JODILS, TRYJPY, PLNILS, JPYCNY
CNYSGD 9 0.00701 6.26× 27.7% 2.7% USDCOP, PKRZAR, GBPCAD, BRLSEK, GBPXPF
ARSUSD 10 0.00699 6.24× 25.4% 1.7% BRLSEK, KRWBRL, SEKILS, GBPXPF, TWDSEK

Rising influence vs 2025-04-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLEUR 0.012050.00285 +0.00920
SEKILS 0.007840.00059 +0.00726
USDDOP 0.007050.00026 +0.00678
MYRZAR 0.007060.00051 +0.00656
BRLSEK 0.006390.00084 +0.00554

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPXPF 0.008270.03332 -0.02505
COPMXN 0.003980.01678 -0.01280
CADARS 0.001140.00765 -0.00651
ARSGBP 0.001140.00763 -0.00649
ILSJPY 0.000430.00537 -0.00494

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.