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Daily network digest

Friday, April 11, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 9.65× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.079
Clustering
0.292
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.04508 9.65× 64.8% 21.1% LCXUSD, ASMUSD, REQUSD, FOXUSD, SEIEUR
BTCJPY 2 0.02454 5.25× 35.2% 41.8% LTCUSD, ETHAUD, QNTUSD, BTTUSD, LTCAUD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02378 5.09× 42.3% 6.6% ABTUSD, UNIUSD, HNTUSD, BOBAUSD, CVCUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02235 4.78× 41.3% 19.7% BOBAUSD, ETHUSD, XRPAUD, UNIUSD, ETHAUD
TRXUSD 5 0.01611 3.45× 25.4% 18.3% BTCAUD, AERGOUSD, ETHUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01578 3.38× 28.6% 3.3% SOLUSD, TRXUSD, XRDUSD, GYENUSD, XAUTUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.01532 3.28× 30.5% 8.0% ALPHAUSD, SOLUSD, TUSD, ORNUSD, GYENUSD
USTUSD 8 0.01349 2.89× 28.6% 14.6% ASTUSD, OXYUSD, BTCAUD, ATOMUSD, TVKUSD
HNTUSD 9 0.01335 2.86× 23.5% 12.7% MLNUSD, RUNEUSD, KNCUSD, SPELLUSD, SUSHIUSD
ORNUSD 10 0.01296 2.77× 24.9% 8.5% DOTUSD, IOTXUSD, PERPUSD, MDTUSD, ETHBTC

Rising influence vs 2025-04-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.045080.01553 +0.02955
BTCJPY 0.024540.00530 +0.01925
XDCUSD 0.015320.00242 +0.01290
XRPUSD 0.011360.00354 +0.00782
TRXUSD 0.016110.00901 +0.00710

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ETHBTC 0.007320.02752 -0.02020
LCXUSD 0.004840.02043 -0.01559
PAXGUSD 0.023780.03811 -0.01433
BONDUSD 0.009660.01716 -0.00750
BTRSTUSD 0.009430.01641 -0.00698

Foreign exchange

USDETB was the most central name, carrying 20.30× the influence of an average node across 798 pairs.

pairs
798
Density
0.059
Clustering
0.375
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDETB 1 0.02544 20.30× 7.9% 3.4% MXNPEN, USDPGK, CLPMXN, MXNCLP, MUREUR
TWDSEK 2 0.01512 12.07× 18.9% 10.5% ZMWZAR, ZARMXN, LKRZAR, BRLCOP, CHFJPY
CHFPKR 3 0.01478 11.79× 20.7% 12.8% BRLPEN, XAGZAR, GBPBRL, XAUARS, KRWBRL
AUDSEK 4 0.01373 10.95× 24.2% 16.1% XPFGBP, NOKSEK, TZSZAR, ILSJPY, JPYILS
EURTTD 5 0.00800 6.39× 1.5% 0.1% RUBJPY
RUBJPY 6 0.00741 5.92× 0.3% 0.1% GBPRUB
GBPRUB 7 0.00643 5.13× 0.3% 0.1% EURTTD
ILSPLN 8 0.00566 4.51× 6.4% 1.4% USDNGN, SEKRUB, ZARBRL, COPBRL, NOKRUB
MXNPEN 9 0.00509 4.07× 2.6% 1.6% SCRUSD, ZARMAD, DKKCOP, SZLEUR, COPDKK
RUBCHF 10 0.00507 4.04× 4.8% 4.4% CADBRL, EURILS, HKDBRL, EURBRL, USDNGN

Rising influence vs 2025-04-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDETB 0.025440.00756 +0.01788
CHFPKR 0.014780.00219 +0.01258
TWDSEK 0.015120.00447 +0.01065
AUDSEK 0.013730.00313 +0.01060
RUBJPY 0.007410.00022 +0.00720

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPUSD 0.001040.01106 -0.01003
CHFTHB 0.000320.00808 -0.00775
XAUBRL 0.001650.00845 -0.00680
COPMXN 0.004560.01076 -0.00620
GBPCLP 0.000350.00645 -0.00611

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.