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Daily network digest

Thursday, April 10, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.16× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.078
Clustering
0.295
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03811 8.16× 62.9% 5.6% RLCUSD, GYENUSD, BOBAUSD, SEIUSD, APEUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.02752 5.89× 54.9% 26.3% GTCUSD, WBTCUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, BOBAUSD
LCXUSD 3 0.02043 4.37× 31.5% 12.7% PNKUSD, ELAUSD, UOSUSD, BTCJPY, FARMUSD
HNTUSD 4 0.01997 4.27× 32.4% 9.4% XRDUSD, LCXUSD, TRXUSD, MATICUSD, KRLUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01990 4.26× 36.6% 6.6% WBTCUSD, RLCUSD, APEUSD, GYENUSD, BTCEUR
BONDUSD 6 0.01716 3.67× 30.0% 25.8% DOTUSD, DASHUSD, DSHUSD, PERPUSD, IMXUSD
BTRSTUSD 7 0.01641 3.51× 27.7% 14.1% ALCXUSD, RARIUSD, INJUSD, DIAUSD, XRPUSD
GYENUSD 8 0.01553 3.32× 25.8% 25.8% LUNAUSD, DYDXUSD, MDTUSD, VELOUSD, ACHUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01355 2.90× 23.9% 8.9% TRXUSD, BADGERUSD, RLCUSD, DYDXEUR, SUKUUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01355 2.90× 23.0% 11.3% XAUTUSD, ORNUSD, TIAUSD, RUNEUSD, BONDUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.038110.00413 +0.03398
HNTUSD 0.019970.00470 +0.01527
XAUTUSD 0.019900.00600 +0.01390
LCXUSD 0.020430.00702 +0.01341
ETHBTC 0.027520.01780 +0.00973

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.010940.02981 -0.01888
REPUSD 0.007100.02571 -0.01861
XMRUSD 0.006150.02078 -0.01462
XDCUSD 0.002420.01257 -0.01016
TRACUSD 0.006600.01624 -0.00964

Foreign exchange

COPUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.87× the influence of an average node across 802 pairs.

pairs
802
Density
0.038
Clustering
0.367
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPUSD 1 0.01106 8.87× 30.8% 4.7% GBPILS, ZAREGP, CHFILS, CHFTWD, ILSCHF
COPMXN 2 0.01076 8.63× 27.5% 3.1% COPUSD, BRLCOP, ZARMXN, USDCNH, XAGEUR
XAUBRL 3 0.00845 6.78× 32.6% 4.7% ZMWZAR, JPYTHB, BRLUSD, GBPBRL, XAGINR
CHFTHB 4 0.00808 6.48× 25.8% 2.6% AUDNZD, USDZAR, TWDCHF, CHFTWD, CNYKRW
USDETB 5 0.00756 6.07× 6.2% 5.5% MXNCLP, MXNPEN, CLPMXN, USDPGK, LRDGBP
DKKRUB 6 0.00663 5.32× 10.1% 12.9% TZSZAR, TWDSEK, USDNOK, BRLMXN, BRLCHF
XAUCNY 7 0.00661 5.30× 29.0% 5.4% COPMXN, AUDJPY, ZMWZAR, COPUSD, BRLPEN
GBPCLP 8 0.00645 5.18× 19.6% 1.1% JPYCHF, GBPXPF, SEKJPY, JPYSEK, JPYAUD
CLPGBP 9 0.00645 5.17× 19.6% 1.4% JPYCHF, GBPXPF, JPYSEK, SEKJPY, JPYAUD
PENCAD 10 0.00610 4.89× 19.5% 6.5% BRLPEN, GBPBRL, JPYBRL, ZARHKD, BRLJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-04-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.010760.00281 +0.00794
CHFTHB 0.008080.00034 +0.00774
COPUSD 0.011060.00377 +0.00730
USDETB 0.007560.00077 +0.00679
XAUCNY 0.006610.00159 +0.00502

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURCOP 0.002630.01023 -0.00760
RUBUSD 0.001590.00882 -0.00723
RUBPLN 0.001270.00825 -0.00698
CLPARS 0.003280.00980 -0.00652
BRLEUR 0.000750.00726 -0.00651

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.