catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.38× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.302
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02981 6.38× 46.5% 7.0% XMRUSD, AERGOUSD, ORCAUSD, OCEANUSD, APEUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02571 5.50× 34.7% 17.8% ABTUSD, UMAUSD, RLCUSD, TRXUSD, NKNUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02244 4.80× 41.3% 5.2% TRXUSD, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, LTCBTC, KSMUSD
XMRUSD 4 0.02078 4.45× 31.5% 22.1% RNDRUSD, AKTEUR, JUPUSD, API3USD, SANDUSD
PNKUSD 5 0.01899 4.06× 37.6% 9.9% REPUSD, TUSD, RNDRUSD, XRPAUD, RARIEUR
LTCBTC 6 0.01881 4.03× 28.6% 15.5% TRBUSD, ARPAUSD, CVCUSD, TUSD, NEARUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01780 3.81× 35.7% 16.4% MIRUSD, UOSUSD, APEUSD, BTCUSD, XRPBTC
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01660 3.55× 27.7% 17.8% BTCUSD, CROUSD, WBTCUSD, IOTXUSD, TRXUSD
TRXUSD 9 0.01654 3.54× 19.7% 11.7% FOXUSD, ABTUSD, BTCJPY, LCXUSD, BADGERUSD
GYENUSD 10 0.01636 3.50× 33.8% 27.7% ETHUSD, PNKUSD, GRTUSD, SCUSD, ENJUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-04-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.029810.01153 +0.01828
REPUSD 0.025710.00834 +0.01738
LTCBTC 0.018810.00561 +0.01320
XMRUSD 0.020780.00828 +0.01250
PNKUSD 0.018990.00688 +0.01212

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.016360.04990 -0.03354
BTCJPY 0.009620.02418 -0.01456
PAXGUSD 0.004130.01577 -0.01164
XAUTUSD 0.006000.01463 -0.00863
HNTUSD 0.004700.01311 -0.00840

Foreign exchange

EURCOP was the most central name, carrying 7.70× the influence of an average node across 753 pairs.

pairs
753
Density
0.035
Clustering
0.344
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EURCOP 1 0.01023 7.70× 3.7% 0.4% GHSEUR, EURGHS, BRLEUR
CLPARS 2 0.00980 7.38× 3.6% 0.4% BRLEUR, GHSEUR, EURGHS
RUBUSD 3 0.00882 6.64× 4.4% 1.1% RUBPLN, JODILS, EURILS, PLNILS, MXNBRL
RUBPLN 4 0.00825 6.21× 4.3% 2.5% MXNBRL, PLNILS, ILSPLN, RUBCHF, ILSEUR
GBPLYD 5 0.00736 5.54× 3.6% 0.1% CLPARS
BRLEUR 6 0.00726 5.47× 0.9% 0.5% COPARS, EURRWF, GBPLYD, EURKZT
QARZAR 7 0.00724 5.45× 31.9% 0.7% NOKZAR, CADNOK, CHFPKR, ZARNOK, TZSZAR
PKRZAR 8 0.00697 5.25× 24.7% 2.7% XAURUB, VNDCAD, GBPXPF, SEKILS, XPFGBP
COPARS 9 0.00690 5.19× 3.6% 0.1% EURCOP
TZSZAR 10 0.00682 5.13× 31.6% 8.8% NZDUSD, XAUBRL, GBPBRL, ILSCAD, BRLPEN

Rising influence vs 2025-04-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CLPARS 0.009800.00271 +0.00709
RUBPLN 0.008250.00141 +0.00684
BRLEUR 0.007260.00049 +0.00677
QARZAR 0.007240.00066 +0.00659
PKRZAR 0.006970.00118 +0.00579

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDETB 0.000770.01526 -0.01449
TWDSEK 0.002420.01369 -0.01127
AUDSEK 0.001090.01228 -0.01119
CHFPKR 0.004160.01284 -0.00868
EURLSL 0.000470.00451 -0.00403

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.