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Daily network digest

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.46× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.088
Clustering
0.306
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.03031 6.46× 50.5% 17.0% AVAXUSD, ACHUSD, BOBAUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.02614 5.57× 48.1% 16.5% AXSUSD, TRACUSD, XRPUSD, KRLUSD, ALCXUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02605 5.55× 46.7% 17.0% ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, MKRUSD, SOLUSD, WBTCUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02450 5.22× 42.5% 7.5% TRXUSD, PAXUSD, TRACUSD, ACHUSD, QNTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01870 3.98× 37.7% 5.7% PAXGUSD, TRXUSD, SOLUSD, XAUTUSD, GRTUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.01769 3.77× 34.4% 9.9% TRXUSD, KRLUSD, YFIUSD, BONKUSD, XRDUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01687 3.59× 44.3% 18.9% DSHUSD, DASHUSD, LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, CVCUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01495 3.18× 32.5% 19.3% IMXUSD, HBARUSD, FARMUSD, AUCTIONUSD, ALCXUSD
LCXUSD 9 0.01481 3.16× 22.6% 10.8% BTCGBP, BTCJPY, MKRUSD, ORCAUSD, HNTUSD
TRXUSD 10 0.01384 2.95× 11.3% 26.9% BADGERUSD, LCXUSD, HIGHUSD, EGLDUSD, LUNAUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.026140.00716 +0.01898
HNTUSD 0.017690.00638 +0.01131
SRMUSD 0.013480.00364 +0.00984
CHRUSD 0.010440.00157 +0.00887
LCXUSD 0.014810.00629 +0.00852

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.009280.02821 -0.01893
XMRUSD 0.003020.02085 -0.01784
XRPBTC 0.010210.02655 -0.01634
XYOUSD 0.003300.01259 -0.00929
PNKUSD 0.009250.01619 -0.00694

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 9.85× the influence of an average node across 550 pairs.

pairs
550
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.377
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.01791 9.85× 3.1% 0.5% BRLJPY, BRLCHF, JPYBRL
BRLJPY 2 0.01027 5.65× 1.5% 3.3% CADRUB, CADMYR, CHFTWD, TWDMYR, MYRGBP
SGDJPY 3 0.01011 5.56× 27.9% 9.7% NOKZAR, DKKRUB, USDNOK, AUDMXN, PENMXN
LKRZAR 4 0.00990 5.45× 17.1% 4.9% NZDUSD, GBPCAD, CADTHB, XAGARS, XAGINR
CNYZAR 5 0.00904 4.97× 18.4% 5.5% NZDUSD, CADTHB, ZARNGN, COPMXN, MXNAUD
SGDZAR 6 0.00857 4.71× 15.7% 6.7% XAGMXN, ZARSEK, XAGJPY, XAGINR, XAGGBP
XAGMXN 7 0.00803 4.42× 19.3% 10.9% JPYMXN, PENMXN, MXNJPY, USDSEK, MXNPLN
ZARHKD 8 0.00780 4.29× 20.9% 5.3% LKRZAR, USDZAR, EURGBP, DKKRUB, SGDZAR
RUBDKK 9 0.00742 4.08× 3.6% 2.0% CHFBRL, ILSPLN, CADBRL, KRWTHB, ILSAED
COPMXN 10 0.00725 3.99× 13.7% 13.5% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGAUD, XAGJPY, NZDMXN

Rising influence vs 2025-02-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.017910.00615 +0.01175
LKRZAR 0.009900.00205 +0.00785
XAGMXN 0.008030.00115 +0.00689
BRLJPY 0.010270.00417 +0.00610
ZARHKD 0.007800.00213 +0.00567

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZAREGP 0.002630.00861 -0.00598
BRLCLP 0.000680.00618 -0.00550
BRLRSD 0.001030.00616 -0.00512
RUBCHF 0.001790.00681 -0.00502
MXNBRL 0.002640.00740 -0.00476

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.