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Daily network digest

Monday, February 17, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.23× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.328
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.02926 6.23× 59.0% 27.8% CTSIUSD, TIAUSD, IMXUSD, ALPHAUSD, AUCTIONUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02821 6.01× 46.7% 18.4% XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, VETUSD, CVCUSD, LCXUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.02655 5.66× 48.1% 11.3% KRLUSD, TUSD, XMRUSD, DIAUSD, XRDUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02308 4.92× 53.3% 31.6% IMXUSD, CTSIUSD, C98USD, BNTUSD, API3USD
XMRUSD 5 0.02085 4.44× 38.7% 21.7% MDTUSD, FARMUSD, AAVEUSD, JUPUSD, ALGOUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01981 4.22× 32.1% 14.2% TRACUSD, CVCUSD, PRIMEUSD, DIAUSD, ELAUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01958 4.17× 38.2% 7.1% TRXUSD, LTCBTC, PYRUSD, TIAUSD, XAUTUSD
GYENUSD 8 0.01705 3.63× 40.6% 32.1% ETHUSD, PNKUSD, GRTUSD, JUPUSD, ENJUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01619 3.45× 34.4% 9.0% REPUSD, LTCBTC, FXUSD, XRPAUD, XAUTUSD
TRXUSD 10 0.01451 3.09× 22.6% 18.4% ALCXUSD, BADGERUSD, ABTUSD, BTCJPY, FOXUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.028210.00819 +0.02003
PNKUSD 0.016190.00384 +0.01235
LTCBTC 0.019810.00775 +0.01205
XMRUSD 0.020850.00882 +0.01203
XRPBTC 0.026550.01659 +0.00996

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.017050.03923 -0.02218
BTCJPY 0.005650.02357 -0.01792
TSDUSD 0.001990.01539 -0.01340
HNTUSD 0.006380.01597 -0.00959
XDCUSD 0.010050.01765 -0.00759

Foreign exchange

ZAREGP was the most central name, carrying 5.13× the influence of an average node across 596 pairs.

pairs
596
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.356
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZAREGP 1 0.00861 5.13× 20.3% 5.4% ZMWZAR, THBSGD, CNYSGD, SEKZAR, HUFCAD
COPMXN 2 0.00838 4.99× 12.3% 3.4% COPUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, JPYTHB, USDCNH
COPUSD 3 0.00799 4.76× 15.6% 4.5% GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZAREGP, CHFILS, ZARJPY
ZARMXN 4 0.00769 4.58× 20.2% 7.4% ZARDKK, COPUSD, ZARNOK, NOKJPY, TWDSEK
DKKRUB 5 0.00741 4.42× 10.9% 4.0% CNYZAR, TZSZAR, TRYZAR, ILSSEK, USDNOK
MXNBRL 6 0.00740 4.41× 2.9% 1.7% BRLCAD, CADBRL, HKDBRL, SGDBRL, BRLHKD
SEKUSD 7 0.00731 4.36× 18.0% 2.5% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, GBPCRC, CHFJPY, AUDNZD
COPBRL 8 0.00718 4.28× 5.0% 5.2% BRLRSD, BRLKRW, PENCOP, GBPSZL, GBPLSL
CNYZAR 9 0.00699 4.17× 18.5% 4.9% NZDUSD, KYDCAD, THBSGD, CNYSGD, CZKCAD
JPYTHB 10 0.00699 4.17× 18.0% 4.0% TWDCHF, BWPZAR, AUDNZD, ZARBWP, CHFJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-02-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZAREGP 0.008610.00278 +0.00582
BRLCLP 0.006180.00063 +0.00555
RUBCHF 0.006810.00172 +0.00509
BRLRSD 0.006160.00113 +0.00502
MXNBRL 0.007400.00294 +0.00447

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.006150.01853 -0.01238
LKRZAR 0.002050.01007 -0.00802
XAGMXN 0.001150.00812 -0.00698
ZARHKD 0.002130.00778 -0.00565
SGDJPY 0.004590.01016 -0.00557

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.