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Daily network digest

Friday, February 7, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.87× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.084
Clustering
0.317
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.03226 6.87× 51.4% 23.6% REQUSD, DNTUSD, LCXUSD, PNKUSD, SEIUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02204 4.69× 36.8% 14.6% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, UOSUSD, AVTUSD, CVXUSD
BTCJPY 3 0.02116 4.51× 27.8% 32.1% LTCUSD, ICPUSD, CROUSD, ETHAUD, QNTUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.01852 3.95× 34.0% 35.8% ETHUSD, ALPHAUSD, MKRUSD, CROUSD, TRACUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01815 3.87× 28.8% 9.9% TUSD, GYENUSD, ORNUSD, STORJUSD, REPUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.01615 3.44× 28.8% 12.3% BADGERUSD, PERPUSD, MLNUSD, AUCTIONUSD, GNOUSD
TSDUSD 7 0.01602 3.41× 34.4% 42.5% CGLDUSD, LINKUSD, BNTUSD, HBARUSD, ETCUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01536 3.27× 27.4% 13.7% GYENUSD, AUCTIONUSD, MLNUSD, XDCUSD, XTZUSD
USTUSD 9 0.01482 3.16× 33.0% 23.1% MASKUSD, BTCAUD, ASTUSD, ETHAUD, OXYUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01167 2.49× 22.2% 8.5% TRXUSD, LTCBTC, XAUTUSD, VELOUSD, APEUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.032260.01085 +0.02141
BTCJPY 0.021160.00490 +0.01626
TSDUSD 0.016020.00320 +0.01282
XDCUSD 0.018150.00560 +0.01256
XRPBTC 0.015360.00838 +0.00698

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.006920.02868 -0.02176
ETHBTC 0.006730.02652 -0.01979
KRLUSD 0.011670.02409 -0.01242
LCXUSD 0.003470.01537 -0.01190
LTCBTC 0.008820.01785 -0.00904

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 10.73× the influence of an average node across 561 pairs.

pairs
561
Density
0.038
Clustering
0.364
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.01912 10.73× 2.9% 0.5% BRLJPY, BRLCHF, JPYBRL
SGDJPY 2 0.00993 5.57× 26.6% 8.8% DKKRUB, NOKZAR, USDNOK, EURSEK, NZDJPY
BRLJPY 3 0.00974 5.46× 1.4% 2.9% CADRUB, CHFTWD, MYRTWD, CADMYR, HKDMYR
LKRZAR 4 0.00956 5.36× 16.3% 4.8% NZDUSD, CADTHB, XAGINR, GBPCAD, XAGARS
CNYZAR 5 0.00876 4.92× 18.8% 5.2% NZDUSD, CADTHB, ZARNGN, CZKMXN, SEKNOK
SGDZAR 6 0.00814 4.57× 14.6% 6.6% XAGMXN, XAGGBP, ZARSEK, XAGJPY, CADTHB
ZARHKD 7 0.00797 4.47× 20.7% 4.8% COPMXN, USDZAR, EURGBP, LKRZAR, DKKRUB
XAGMXN 8 0.00785 4.40× 19.6% 11.3% JPYMXN, USDSEK, PENMXN, MXNPLN, AUDMXN
NGNUSD 9 0.00740 4.15× 6.1% 6.1% GBPZMW, CLPCNY, CNYCLP, USDZMW, SCRGBP
COPMXN 10 0.00717 4.02× 14.5% 13.2% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGAUD, ZARPHP, XAGJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-02-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.019120.00472 +0.01441
BRLJPY 0.009740.00215 +0.00759
LKRZAR 0.009560.00211 +0.00746
ZARHKD 0.007970.00176 +0.00621
XAGMXN 0.007850.00175 +0.00610

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURRUB 0.000620.00520 -0.00458
BRLRSD 0.000970.00541 -0.00444
KRWMYR 0.000430.00483 -0.00441
ZAREGP 0.002800.00710 -0.00430
ZMWUSD 0.001340.00557 -0.00423

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.