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Daily network digest

Thursday, February 6, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.08× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.304
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02868 6.08× 49.8% 13.7% AXSUSD, TRACUSD, EOSUSD, ALCXUSD, KSMUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02815 5.97× 48.3% 11.4% AVAXUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD
ETHBTC 3 0.02652 5.62× 52.6% 20.9% DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02575 5.46× 43.6% 14.2% GHSTUSD, AERGOUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, BTCEUR
KRLUSD 5 0.02409 5.11× 37.4% 7.1% TRXUSD, PAXUSD, TRACUSD, BANDUSD, HIGHUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.02123 4.50× 39.8% 8.5% TRXUSD, KRLUSD, MATICUSD, NEXOUSD, ALGOUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01785 3.78× 34.1% 8.1% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, GNOUSD, HBARUSD, TRXUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01779 3.77× 31.3% 15.6% IMXUSD, HBARUSD, PERPUSD, CHREUR, AUCTIONUSD
LCXUSD 9 0.01537 3.26× 26.5% 12.3% BTCJPY, MKRUSD, BTCGBP, LTCEUR, HNTUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01324 2.81× 18.0% 14.2% AUCTIONUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD, LTCBTC, BTCGBP

Rising influence vs 2025-02-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.028680.00630 +0.02238
HNTUSD 0.021230.00547 +0.01576
ETHBTC 0.026520.01129 +0.01523
BONDUSD 0.017790.00754 +0.01025
LCXUSD 0.015370.00561 +0.00976

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.008380.03257 -0.02419
REPUSD 0.013240.03050 -0.01727
XMRUSD 0.004140.02049 -0.01635
XYOUSD 0.002570.01389 -0.01132
FORTUSD 0.004540.01249 -0.00795

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 4.83× the influence of an average node across 592 pairs.

pairs
592
Density
0.036
Clustering
0.374
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00816 4.83× 16.1% 4.9% COPUSD, ZARMXN, DKKRUB, XAGAUD, XAUUSD
ZARMXN 2 0.00739 4.37× 22.3% 9.3% TWDSEK, ZARDKK, COPUSD, XAGUSD, ZARNOK
ZAREGP 3 0.00710 4.21× 21.8% 6.6% ZMWZAR, CNYSGD, THBSGD, CZKSEK, SGDSEK
ZMWZAR 4 0.00705 4.18× 19.6% 6.9% ZARNZD, XAGKRW, XAGEUR, CNYSGD, THBSGD
COPUSD 5 0.00702 4.16× 17.6% 7.4% GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZAREGP, CHFILS, PENCAD
DKKRUB 6 0.00614 3.64× 11.5% 7.1% CNYZAR, TZSZAR, XAGINR, TRYZAR, XAGRUB
COPBRL 7 0.00604 3.58× 4.6% 2.9% CHFBRL, BRLHKD, SEKRUB, HKDBRL, SGDBRL
MXNBRL 8 0.00594 3.52× 5.9% 4.4% PENBRL, BRLCAD, HKDBRL, CADBRL, BRLHKD
JPYTHB 9 0.00588 3.48× 20.3% 4.4% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, CHFJPY, BWPZAR, AUDNZD
CNYZAR 10 0.00582 3.44× 19.6% 5.6% NZDUSD, CNYSGD, KYDCAD, THBSGD, CZKCAD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYTHB 0.005880.00046 +0.00542
COPMXN 0.008160.00318 +0.00498
IDRZAR 0.005740.00085 +0.00489
AUDSEK 0.005220.00058 +0.00464
BRLRSD 0.005410.00116 +0.00425

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBPLN 0.003130.00828 -0.00515
ARSBRL 0.003190.00769 -0.00450
ARSMXN 0.001080.00554 -0.00446
ZARCZK 0.000470.00475 -0.00429
CZKZAR 0.000470.00474 -0.00428

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.