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Daily network digest

Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 4.66× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.081
Clustering
0.306
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.02210 4.66× 28.1% 29.0% LTCUSD, ICPUSD, QNTUSD, CROUSD, NEOUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02194 4.63× 36.7% 13.8% MKRUSD, AVTUSD, UOSUSD, BANDUSD, REPUSD
GYENUSD 3 0.02122 4.48× 36.2% 21.0% REQUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, FOXUSD, SEIEUR
XDCUSD 4 0.01994 4.21× 30.5% 8.1% TUSD, GYENUSD, ORNUSD, CVCUSD, REPUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.01968 4.15× 39.0% 41.0% CGLDUSD, BNTUSD, LINKUSD, ETCUSD, HBARUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01938 4.09× 31.9% 32.4% ALPHAUSD, MKRUSD, ETHUSD, CROUSD, BNTUSD
HNTUSD 7 0.01770 3.73× 29.5% 13.8% MLNUSD, AUCTIONUSD, BADGERUSD, ALCXUSD, GNOUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01458 3.08× 27.6% 15.2% AUCTIONUSD, XDCUSD, GYENUSD, MLNUSD, ASTUSD
UOSUSD 9 0.01403 2.96× 18.6% 8.1% JTOUSD, XAUTUSD, OXYUSD, SRMUSD, IMXUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01382 2.92× 31.0% 23.8% MASKUSD, BTCAUD, ASTUSD, NANOUSD, ETHAUD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.022100.00465 +0.01746
TSDUSD 0.019680.00376 +0.01592
XDCUSD 0.019940.00540 +0.01454
GYENUSD 0.021220.00876 +0.01247
UOSUSD 0.014030.00548 +0.00855

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.007480.03728 -0.02979
ETHBTC 0.007200.02512 -0.01792
LTCBTC 0.009570.02141 -0.01184
LCXUSD 0.003370.01202 -0.00865
KRLUSD 0.011050.01956 -0.00852

Foreign exchange

CADRUB was the most central name, carrying 11.41× the influence of an average node across 559 pairs.

pairs
559
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.365
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CADRUB 1 0.02041 11.41× 3.2% 0.9% BRLJPY, JPYBRL, BRLCHF, BRLMXN, BRLPEN
SGDJPY 2 0.01022 5.71× 27.4% 9.9% NOKZAR, DKKRUB, USDNOK, NZDJPY, EURSEK
LKRZAR 3 0.00982 5.49× 16.7% 5.6% NZDUSD, CADTHB, XAGINR, GBPCAD, XAGGBP
CNYZAR 4 0.00888 4.97× 19.0% 5.9% NZDUSD, CADTHB, CZKMXN, ZARNGN, XAGGBP
SGDZAR 5 0.00845 4.72× 15.8% 6.5% XAGMXN, XAGGBP, ZARSEK, XAGJPY, CADTHB
COPBRL 6 0.00826 4.62× 4.3% 2.7% RUBDKK, RUBNOK, SEKRUB, ZARCNY, RUBUSD
ZARHKD 7 0.00811 4.53× 20.3% 4.8% COPMXN, LKRZAR, EURGBP, USDZAR, DKKRUB
XAGMXN 8 0.00809 4.52× 17.4% 10.6% MXNJPY, JPYMXN, PENMXN, MXNAUD, USDSEK
BRLJPY 9 0.00807 4.51× 1.4% 2.9% CADRUB, BRLEUR, CHFTWD, ARSCHF, MYRGBP
ZARUSD 10 0.00730 4.08× 20.4% 6.8% XAUARS, LKRZAR, EURGBP, XAGARS, DKKRUB

Rising influence vs 2025-02-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.020410.00568 +0.01473
LKRZAR 0.009820.00223 +0.00759
XAGMXN 0.008090.00135 +0.00674
ZARHKD 0.008110.00219 +0.00592
SGDJPY 0.010220.00459 +0.00563

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBCHF 0.001770.01127 -0.00951
BRLCLP 0.000570.00726 -0.00669
ZAREGP 0.002790.00826 -0.00547
BRLRSD 0.001060.00587 -0.00481
EURCLP 0.000550.00532 -0.00477

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.