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Daily network digest

Monday, February 3, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.87× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.083
Clustering
0.312
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03728 7.87× 56.7% 15.7% ALCXUSD, AXSUSD, TRACUSD, INJUSD, KSMUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02613 5.51× 45.2% 16.2% ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, SOLUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCGBP
PAXGUSD 3 0.02547 5.38× 43.3% 14.3% AVAXUSD, ACHUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD, NEXOUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.02512 5.30× 47.6% 24.8% LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD, CVCUSD, DASHUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.02141 4.52× 40.0% 7.1% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD, GNOUSD, HBARUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.02001 4.22× 38.6% 11.4% TRXUSD, NEXOUSD, AERGOUSD, MATICUSD, BONKUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01956 4.13× 32.9% 7.6% TRXUSD, PAXUSD, BANDUSD, LTCBTC, TRACUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01679 3.54× 31.9% 16.7% IMXUSD, HBARUSD, CHREUR, STORJUSD, LCXUSD
REPUSD 9 0.01412 2.98× 20.5% 11.0% AUCTIONUSD, LTCBTC, XAUTUSD, BTCGBP, SUKUUSD
SRMUSD 10 0.01216 2.57× 26.7% 22.4% XDCUSD, CLVUSD, OMGUSD, NMRUSD, BNTUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-02-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.037280.00750 +0.02977
ETHBTC 0.025120.01152 +0.01360
HNTUSD 0.020010.00645 +0.01356
CHRUSD 0.011830.00122 +0.01061
SRMUSD 0.012160.00419 +0.00797

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.008910.03591 -0.02700
REPUSD 0.014120.03027 -0.01615
XMRUSD 0.004450.02036 -0.01591
XYOUSD 0.003470.01389 -0.01042
KRLUSD 0.019560.02978 -0.01022

Foreign exchange

RUBCHF was the most central name, carrying 6.66× the influence of an average node across 591 pairs.

pairs
591
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.359
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBCHF 1 0.01127 6.66× 4.7% 3.1% BRLCHF, BRLJPY, JPYMYR, XAGCAD, XAGAUD
COPMXN 2 0.00844 4.99× 12.5% 2.9% COPUSD, DKKRUB, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, THBUSD
ZAREGP 3 0.00826 4.88× 20.7% 5.1% ZMWZAR, CNYSGD, THBSGD, CNYCAD, CNYAUD
COPUSD 4 0.00790 4.67× 15.4% 4.6% GBPILS, ZARDKK, CHFILS, PENCAD, ZMWZAR
ZARMXN 5 0.00765 4.52× 19.8% 8.1% COPUSD, CNYZAR, ZARDKK, EGPZAR, ZARNOK
SEKUSD 6 0.00742 4.38× 18.0% 2.9% TWDCHF, GBPCRC, CRCGBP, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
DKKRUB 7 0.00733 4.33× 10.3% 6.3% CNYZAR, TZSZAR, TRYZAR, SEKCZK, SEKEUR
BRLCLP 8 0.00726 4.29× 8.3% 3.2% XAGBRL, XAGEUR, XAGCAD, KRWMYR, XAGZAR
CNYZAR 9 0.00691 4.08× 18.6% 5.4% NZDUSD, THBSGD, CNYSGD, KYDCAD, CZKCAD
COPBRL 10 0.00690 4.08× 4.4% 5.4% BRLRSD, BRLKRW, PENCOP, SEKRUB, GBPKZT

Rising influence vs 2025-01-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBCHF 0.011270.00393 +0.00735
BRLCLP 0.007260.00082 +0.00644
EURUZS 0.006420.00033 +0.00609
ZAREGP 0.008260.00301 +0.00525
BRLRSD 0.005870.00123 +0.00464

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LKRZAR 0.002230.01010 -0.00787
USDKES 0.000960.00846 -0.00750
ZARTRY 0.000880.00804 -0.00717
XAGMXN 0.001350.00840 -0.00706
SGDJPY 0.004590.01069 -0.00610

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.