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Daily network digest

Friday, January 17, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.04× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.088
Clustering
0.333
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02389 5.04× 44.3% 32.4% REQUSD, PNKUSD, RARIUSD, DOGEUSD, DNTUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02165 4.57× 40.0% 12.4% MKRUSD, REPUSD, BONDUSD, BANDUSD, ASTUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02081 4.39× 40.5% 21.4% MKRUSD, TRACUSD, ETHUSD, ALPHAUSD, XDCUSD
BTCJPY 4 0.02028 4.28× 31.9% 32.9% LTCUSD, QNTUSD, MATICUSD, LTCAUD, ICPUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.01895 4.00× 41.0% 43.3% CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, BNTUSD, ETCUSD, XYOUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01859 3.92× 35.2% 10.0% STORJUSD, TUSD, GYENUSD, BTRSTUSD, BALUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.01705 3.60× 23.3% 18.6% BTCAUD, DASHUSD, ARPAUSD, FLOWUSD, DSHUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01582 3.34× 28.1% 14.8% MLNUSD, AUCTIONUSD, GNOUSD, SUSHIUSD, GHSTUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.01491 3.15× 22.4% 17.1% XLMUSD, BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, ASTUSD, LINKUSD
GNOUSD 10 0.01451 3.06× 21.4% 21.0% DNTUSD, RARIUSD, BCHGBP, UOSUSD, AUCTIONUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.023890.00609 +0.01779
BTCJPY 0.020280.00478 +0.01550
TSDUSD 0.018950.00406 +0.01489
XDCUSD 0.018590.00528 +0.01331
TRXUSD 0.017050.00946 +0.00759

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.014910.03870 -0.02379
KRLUSD 0.012060.02571 -0.01365
LTCBTC 0.008170.01980 -0.01163
HNTUSD 0.015820.02720 -0.01138
ETHBTC 0.009340.01931 -0.00997

Foreign exchange

IDRSGD was the most central name, carrying 6.96× the influence of an average node across 546 pairs.

pairs
546
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.375
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
IDRSGD 1 0.01274 6.96× 1.1% 0.4% IDRCHF, IDRHKD
USDCOP 2 0.01260 6.88× 2.4% 0.9% ZARTWD, BRLCOP, ZARINR, ARSMXN, USDCLP
SGDJPY 3 0.01134 6.19× 28.3% 9.4% DKKRUB, NOKZAR, USDNOK, NZDMXN, MXNSGD
CNYZAR 4 0.01004 5.48× 19.1% 6.2% CADTHB, NZDUSD, ZARNGN, MXNAUD, SEKNOK
SGDZAR 5 0.00935 5.10× 17.2% 6.8% XAGMXN, ZARSEK, XAGJPY, CADTHB, ZAREGP
ZARHKD 6 0.00900 4.91× 21.1% 4.4% COPMXN, EURGBP, DKKRUB, CHFJPY, ZARMXN
COPBRL 7 0.00900 4.91× 5.0% 2.8% RUBDKK, ZARCNY, RUBNOK, SEKRUB, RUBPLN
LKRZAR 8 0.00899 4.91× 15.2% 4.6% XAGJPY, CADTHB, NZDUSD, JPYHKD, XAGINR
COPMXN 9 0.00841 4.59× 14.3% 14.5% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGAUD, ZARPHP, NZDMXN
ZARUSD 10 0.00806 4.40× 22.2% 6.8% LKRZAR, XAUARS, EURGBP, DKKRUB, CHFJPY

Rising influence vs 2025-01-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRSGD 0.012740.00032 +0.01243
USDCOP 0.012600.00201 +0.01059
ZARHKD 0.009000.00163 +0.00737
LKRZAR 0.008990.00191 +0.00708
IDRCHF 0.007480.00069 +0.00679

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLRSD 0.001160.00737 -0.00622
SEKUSD 0.000440.00611 -0.00567
KRWMYR 0.000380.00568 -0.00530
ZAREGP 0.003300.00794 -0.00463
EURRUB 0.001560.00611 -0.00455

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.