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Daily network digest

Thursday, January 16, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.16× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.090
Clustering
0.333
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03870 8.16× 61.4% 14.8% DNTUSD, AXSUSD, GNOUSD, HBARUSD, MDTUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02720 5.74× 50.5% 11.9% NEXOUSD, TRXUSD, KRLUSD, YFIUSD, SGBUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02571 5.42× 42.9% 8.1% TRXUSD, HIGHUSD, BANDUSD, PAXUSD, BOBAUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02435 5.14× 45.2% 13.8% OXTUSD, GHSTUSD, AVAXUSD, FXUSD, ACHUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.02433 5.13× 44.3% 14.8% GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, FXUSD, OXTUSD, SOLUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01980 4.18× 39.5% 6.2% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, DIAUSD, YFIUSD, GNOUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01931 4.08× 49.0% 21.9% LUNAUSD, XDCUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, DIAUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01490 3.14× 32.4% 16.7% HBARUSD, KRLUSD, CHREUR, IMXUSD, AUCTIONUSD
AUCTIONUSD 9 0.01411 2.98× 19.5% 12.4% BTCJPY, KRLUSD, ZECUSD, MIRUSD, METISUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01229 2.59× 19.5% 9.5% AUCTIONUSD, XAUTUSD, BTCGBP, LTCBTC, CHREUR

Rising influence vs 2025-01-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.038700.00822 +0.03048
HNTUSD 0.027200.00504 +0.02216
CHRUSD 0.012170.00175 +0.01042
CHREUR 0.010720.00236 +0.00836
AUCTIONUSD 0.014110.00624 +0.00787

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.011250.03001 -0.01876
LTCBTC 0.019800.03474 -0.01494
REPUSD 0.012290.02702 -0.01473
XMRUSD 0.004240.01840 -0.01416
XYOUSD 0.002320.01628 -0.01396

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.05× the influence of an average node across 578 pairs.

pairs
578
Density
0.037
Clustering
0.368
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00874 5.05× 16.8% 5.0% COPUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, USDCNH, DKKRUB
ZAREGP 2 0.00794 4.59× 22.5% 6.9% ZMWZAR, CZKSEK, SGDSEK, XAGSAR, CNYAUD
ZARMXN 3 0.00764 4.41× 25.5% 9.5% COPUSD, ZARDKK, CNYZAR, ZARNOK, XAGUSD
COPUSD 4 0.00754 4.36× 18.4% 7.1% GBPILS, ZARDKK, XAGARS, CHFILS, PENCAD
BRLRSD 5 0.00737 4.26× 5.0% 2.9% COPCAD, COPDKK, CADCOP, GBPCOP, DKKCOP
IDRZAR 6 0.00683 3.95× 3.1% 0.5% JPYGBP, CHFMYR, JPYMYR
CNYZAR 7 0.00655 3.79× 20.8% 8.5% NZDUSD, ZARNZD, MXNCZK, PENMXN, ZARAED
COPBRL 8 0.00648 3.75× 4.7% 2.9% CHFBRL, BRLHKD, HKDBRL, SEKRUB, SGDBRL
MXNBRL 9 0.00624 3.61× 6.2% 4.2% PENBRL, BRLCAD, HKDBRL, CADBRL, BRLHKD
EURUZS 10 0.00622 3.59× 1.0% 0.5% RUBJPY, JPYRUB, RUBGBP

Rising influence vs 2025-01-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.006830.00081 +0.00602
EURUZS 0.006220.00034 +0.00587
BRLRSD 0.007370.00170 +0.00567
JPYTHB 0.006110.00049 +0.00561
AUDSEK 0.005880.00060 +0.00528

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.003120.01372 -0.01060
RUBPLN 0.003290.00880 -0.00551
USDALL 0.001530.00688 -0.00535
GBPAMD 0.001000.00601 -0.00501
ZARCZK 0.000520.00504 -0.00452

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.