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Daily network digest

Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.33× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.101
Clustering
0.370
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.03474 7.33× 56.2% 19.0% ELAUSD, CVCUSD, XLMUSD, BNTUSD, ATOMUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.03001 6.33× 63.3% 11.9% TRBUSD, KRLUSD, SRMUSD, TUSD, STORJUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02846 6.00× 59.0% 6.2% LTCBTC, TRXUSD, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ETHBTC
REPUSD 4 0.02702 5.70× 53.3% 19.5% VETUSD, QTUMUSD, PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, TIAUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.02328 4.91× 53.8% 31.9% CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, HIGHUSD, IMXUSD, API3USD
TRXUSD 6 0.01930 4.07× 33.8% 15.2% DOGEUSD, ABTUSD, ALCXUSD, KEEPUSD, VTHOUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01870 3.95× 51.0% 33.8% API3USD, IMXUSD, SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, HIGHUSD
XMRUSD 8 0.01840 3.88× 42.4% 21.0% ALGOUSD, BTCJPY, PYRUSD, SANDUSD, FARMUSD
XYOUSD 9 0.01628 3.44× 35.2% 8.6% USTUSD, LINKUSD, DOTUSD, BTCAUD, PAXGUSD
TRACUSD 10 0.01487 3.14× 40.0% 12.9% MKRUSD, TRBUSD, BTCAUD, UNIUSD, BTCUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.034740.00928 +0.02546
REPUSD 0.027020.00761 +0.01941
KRLUSD 0.028460.01059 +0.01786
XRPBTC 0.030010.01218 +0.01783
XYOUSD 0.016280.00437 +0.01191

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001580.01693 -0.01535
BTCJPY 0.005560.01969 -0.01412
GNOUSD 0.002640.01306 -0.01042
GYENUSD 0.013160.02327 -0.01010
HNTUSD 0.005040.01437 -0.00933

Foreign exchange

ARSBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.65× the influence of an average node across 558 pairs.

pairs
558
Density
0.034
Clustering
0.379
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSBRL 1 0.01372 7.65× 4.5% 3.6% CHFRUB, RUBCHF, KZTGBP, USDKZT, KZTUSD
RUBPLN 2 0.00880 4.91× 3.6% 4.3% MXNBRL, PLNILS, RUBUSD, AUDBRL, BRLSEK
RUBUSD 3 0.00773 4.32× 5.2% 2.7% JODILS, RUBPLN, MXNBRL, PLNILS, BRLCAD
EURRUB 4 0.00766 4.27× 5.6% 4.3% UYUGBP, GBPUYU, USDMAD, ETBGBP, USDKZT
RUBEUR 5 0.00746 4.16× 5.4% 4.3% UYUGBP, GBPUYU, USDALL, USDMAD, USDPEN
XAURUB 6 0.00737 4.11× 11.5% 12.4% ILSSEK, HUFZAR, TWDSEK, KRWSEK, MXNCAD
DKKRUB 7 0.00716 3.99× 7.9% 8.3% ILSSEK, XAUGBP, HUFZAR, TWDSEK, ZARMXN
USDALL 8 0.00688 3.84× 4.7% 2.0% RUBCHF, CHFRUB, GBPAMD, TZSUSD, AMDGBP
RUBSEK 9 0.00668 3.73× 4.7% 2.3% PLNILS, EURILS, RUBPLN, ILSEUR, RUBDKK
GBPAMD 10 0.00601 3.35× 3.2% 0.7% RUBEUR, BRLKRW, ARSBRL, EURRUB

Rising influence vs 2025-01-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.013720.00120 +0.01252
RUBPLN 0.008800.00223 +0.00657
EURRUB 0.007660.00164 +0.00603
GBPAMD 0.006010.00105 +0.00496
AMDGBP 0.005880.00105 +0.00483

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRSGD 0.000710.01076 -0.01005
SGDJPY 0.002370.01161 -0.00924
ZARHKD 0.000340.00892 -0.00857
SGDZAR 0.001400.00926 -0.00786
COPBRL 0.002020.00906 -0.00703

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.