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Daily network digest

Thursday, January 2, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.76× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.340
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02742 5.76× 42.6% 34.9% PNKUSD, REQUSD, DNTUSD, ETCUSD, BOBAUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02553 5.36× 39.7% 13.9% MKRUSD, ASTUSD, BONDUSD, BANDUSD, REPUSD
XAUTUSD 3 0.02487 5.22× 37.8% 23.4% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, ALPHAUSD, TRACUSD, XDCUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.02056 4.32× 39.2% 11.0% BTRSTUSD, XDCUSD, MLNUSD, ASTUSD, NCTUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01945 4.08× 35.9% 3.8% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, XAUTUSD, XRPBTC
TSDUSD 6 0.01927 4.05× 41.6% 42.1% CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, EGLDUSD, ETCUSD, LINKUSD
HNTUSD 7 0.01713 3.60× 34.0% 19.6% GNOUSD, RUNEUSD, MLNUSD, SUKUUSD, SUSHIUSD
BTCJPY 8 0.01660 3.49× 31.6% 31.6% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, QNTUSD, NEXOUSD, LTCEUR
REPUSD 9 0.01483 3.11× 26.8% 16.7% ASMUSD, TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD, IOTUSD, SEIEUR
GNOUSD 10 0.01468 3.08× 23.0% 21.1% RARIUSD, DNTUSD, BCHGBP, GTCUSD, XRPBTC

Rising influence vs 2025-01-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.027420.00756 +0.01986
TSDUSD 0.019270.00437 +0.01490
XDCUSD 0.019450.00604 +0.01342
BTCJPY 0.016600.00542 +0.01118
USTUSD 0.014250.00563 +0.00862

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011400.02651 -0.01511
LTCBTC 0.010320.02309 -0.01276
ETHBTC 0.008610.02111 -0.01250
ORCAUSD 0.003710.01471 -0.01099
KRLUSD 0.014410.02531 -0.01090

Foreign exchange

BRLRSD was the most central name, carrying 4.79× the influence of an average node across 565 pairs.

pairs
565
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.376
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLRSD 1 0.00848 4.79× 5.1% 3.4% DKKCOP, GBPCOP, COPDKK, CADCOP, ETBUSD
COPMXN 2 0.00842 4.75× 17.4% 5.0% COPUSD, ZARMXN, CNYZAR, XAGJPY, USDCNH
COPUSD 3 0.00767 4.33× 19.0% 8.0% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZAREGP, ZARDKK, CHFILS
ZAREGP 4 0.00760 4.29× 22.2% 8.2% ZMWZAR, XAGTRY, XAGSAR, CZKCAD, SGDSEK
COPBRL 5 0.00747 4.22× 5.1% 2.8% CHFBRL, BRLHKD, SEKRUB, HKDBRL, SGDBRL
ZARMXN 6 0.00720 4.07× 23.2% 11.5% COPUSD, ZARDKK, XAGINR, CNYZAR, XAGUSD
MXNBRL 7 0.00666 3.76× 6.6% 4.4% PENBRL, BRLCAD, CADBRL, HKDBRL, BRLHKD
IDRZAR 8 0.00652 3.68× 3.0% 0.5% JPYGBP, CHFMYR, JPYMYR
AUDSEK 9 0.00649 3.67× 22.3% 6.9% AUDCLP, USDCNH, XAUMXN, CLPAUD, NOKSEK
EURRUB 10 0.00632 3.57× 6.4% 3.5% GBPKZT, NGNUSD, TZSUSD, SCRUSD, GHSUSD

Rising influence vs 2025-01-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLRSD 0.008480.00227 +0.00621
KRWMYR 0.006310.00057 +0.00574
IDRZAR 0.006520.00093 +0.00559
JPYTHB 0.005940.00049 +0.00545
AUDSEK 0.006490.00120 +0.00529

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBPLN 0.003390.01048 -0.00709
GBPNGN 0.000360.00715 -0.00679
GBPAMD 0.001080.00783 -0.00674
ZARCZK 0.000460.00523 -0.00477
CZKZAR 0.000460.00520 -0.00474

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.