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Daily network digest

Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.57× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.092
Clustering
0.337
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02651 5.57× 44.5% 18.2% AXSUSD, HBARUSD, TRACUSD, FETUSD, KRLUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02607 5.47× 45.0% 16.7% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, SOLUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02565 5.39× 42.1% 15.8% OXTUSD, GHSTUSD, FXUSD, AVAXUSD, PRIMEUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02531 5.32× 44.5% 6.2% TRXUSD, BANDUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, DYDXEUR
HNTUSD 5 0.02338 4.91× 44.5% 8.6% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, YFIUSD, XRDUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.02309 4.85× 44.5% 5.3% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, HBARUSD, DIAUSD, AAVEUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.02111 4.43× 51.2% 22.0% LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, XDCUSD, QNTUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01935 4.06× 34.0% 11.5% AUCTIONUSD, FXUSD, LTCBTC, XAUTUSD, SGBUSD
XRPBTC 9 0.01621 3.40× 37.3% 18.7% XAUTUSD, GHSTUSD, CHRUSD, PAXGUSD, ASMUSD
ORCAUSD 10 0.01471 3.09× 33.0% 13.4% AERGOUSD, FISUSD, EGLDUSD, ABTUSD, TRXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.026510.00758 +0.01894
HNTUSD 0.023380.00468 +0.01870
ETHBTC 0.021110.00950 +0.01162
ORCAUSD 0.014710.00325 +0.01146
ZENUSD 0.011450.00301 +0.00844

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.016210.03750 -0.02130
XYOUSD 0.002100.01718 -0.01509
XMRUSD 0.005090.01795 -0.01286
PNKUSD 0.006320.01567 -0.00935
ABTUSD 0.005230.01297 -0.00775

Foreign exchange

RUBPLN was the most central name, carrying 5.66× the influence of an average node across 540 pairs.

pairs
540
Density
0.034
Clustering
0.382
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBPLN 1 0.01048 5.66× 3.7% 3.0% MXNBRL, PLNILS, ILSEUR, NOKRUB, AUDBRL
EURRUB 2 0.00911 4.92× 6.1% 4.3% USDKZT, KZTUSD, GBPKZT, KZTGBP, GBPUYU
RUBEUR 3 0.00869 4.69× 5.8% 4.3% RUBUSD, GBPUYU, UYUGBP, USDPEN, KRWTHB
GBPAMD 4 0.00783 4.23× 3.7% 1.3% RUBEUR, BRLKRW, EURRUB, ARSBRL, COPBRL
AMDGBP 5 0.00765 4.13× 3.7% 0.7% COPBRL, ARSBRL, PENBRL, EURBRL
RUBSEK 6 0.00759 4.10× 3.9% 1.7% RUBPLN, USDNGN, CADBRL, JPYINR, BRLCAD
TZSUSD 7 0.00758 4.09× 3.7% 0.7% COPBRL, PENBRL, ARSBRL, EURBRL
GBPNGN 8 0.00715 3.86× 0.9% 1.1% EURZMW, GBPLBP, PENCLP, CLPCOP, CLPCNY
RUBNOK 9 0.00706 3.81× 3.2% 3.2% MXNBRL, PLNILS, NOKRUB, HKDBRL, AUDBRL
ARSCOP 10 0.00683 3.69× 2.2% 0.6% COPARS, ZARARS, GBPNGN

Rising influence vs 2024-12-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PENBRL 0.006360.00065 +0.00571
ARSMXN 0.005930.00036 +0.00557
RUBPLN 0.010480.00539 +0.00509
EURBRL 0.005640.00140 +0.00424
XAUEUR 0.004890.00083 +0.00406

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.006270.01659 -0.01032
SGDJPY 0.002350.01134 -0.00899
ZARHKD 0.000450.00830 -0.00785
SGDZAR 0.001120.00855 -0.00743
ZARUSD 0.001880.00759 -0.00571

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.