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Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.88× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.102
Clustering
0.365
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03750 7.88× 69.4% 10.5% TRBUSD, TRACUSD, MAGICUSD, SRMUSD, AERGOUSD
LTCBTC 2 0.02591 5.44× 44.5% 12.4% BNTUSD, AERGOUSD, PRIMEUSD, XLMUSD, ELAUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02560 5.38× 56.5% 31.1% SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, HIGHUSD, IMXUSD, LOKAUSD
REPUSD 4 0.02544 5.34× 51.2% 25.8% VETUSD, XAUTUSD, SRMUSD, ASTUSD, PAXGUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.02068 4.34× 51.7% 34.9% IMXUSD, CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, API3USD, LOKAUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01841 3.87× 45.9% 6.7% LTCBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ABTUSD, AKTEUR
XMRUSD 7 0.01795 3.77× 37.3% 19.6% SANDUSD, INJUSD, BTCJPY, ALGOUSD, PYRUSD
TRXUSD 8 0.01788 3.75× 30.6% 18.7% DOGEUSD, BADGERUSD, ABTUSD, VTHOUSD, KEEPUSD
XYOUSD 9 0.01718 3.61× 34.4% 8.1% USTUSD, BTCAUD, DOTUSD, XRPAUD, PAXGUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01567 3.29× 41.6% 14.4% REPUSD, ETCUSD, FXUSD, LTCBTC, MATICUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.025910.00991 +0.01600
XRPBTC 0.037500.02282 +0.01468
XYOUSD 0.017180.00540 +0.01178
XMRUSD 0.017950.00757 +0.01037
REPUSD 0.025440.01507 +0.01037

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001540.01903 -0.01749
BTCJPY 0.004810.02176 -0.01695
HNTUSD 0.004680.01818 -0.01350
XDCUSD 0.009180.01938 -0.01020
GYENUSD 0.015170.02537 -0.01020

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 9.29× the influence of an average node across 560 pairs.

pairs
560
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.375
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.01659 9.29× 4.1% 4.7% EURRUB, CADRUB, RUBEUR, RUBUSD, MXNCOP
SGDJPY 2 0.01134 6.35× 27.9% 9.5% DKKRUB, NOKZAR, NZDMXN, USDNOK, XAUBRL
SGDZAR 3 0.00855 4.79× 12.0% 5.4% XAGJPY, ZARSEK, XAGMXN, CADTHB, ZAREGP
ZARHKD 4 0.00830 4.65× 20.2% 4.5% EURGBP, COPMXN, DKKRUB, XAURUB, CHFJPY
LKRZAR 5 0.00829 4.64× 13.1% 4.7% XAGJPY, CADTHB, JPYHKD, ZARSEK, USDSEK
CNYZAR 6 0.00768 4.30× 15.2% 7.2% NZDUSD, CADTHB, MXNAUD, COPMXN, CZKMXN
ZARUSD 7 0.00759 4.25× 21.3% 5.9% XAUARS, EURGBP, LKRZAR, DKKRUB, COPMXN
COPMXN 8 0.00749 4.19× 14.5% 14.0% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, ZARMXN, NZDMXN, ZARPHP
EURGBP 9 0.00729 4.08× 8.1% 4.8% DKKRUB, ZARPHP, ZARNZD, XAUMXN, NOKZAR
AMDGBP 10 0.00706 3.95× 2.0% 0.2% COPBRL

Rising influence vs 2024-12-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.016590.00414 +0.01245
ZARHKD 0.008300.00102 +0.00727
LKRZAR 0.008290.00129 +0.00700
ZARUSD 0.007590.00202 +0.00557
SGDJPY 0.011340.00588 +0.00546

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNGN 0.001780.02131 -0.01953
ARSJPY 0.000320.00969 -0.00937
SEKUSD 0.000390.00933 -0.00895
ZAREGP 0.002770.01060 -0.00784
JPYTHB 0.002240.00883 -0.00659

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.