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Daily network digest

Monday, December 30, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.33× the influence of an average node across 210 assets.

assets
210
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.344
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02537 5.33× 44.0% 34.9% REQUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, DOGEUSD, RARIUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02393 5.02× 38.8% 12.4% MKRUSD, BANDUSD, ASTUSD, BONDUSD, RENUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.02282 4.79× 39.2% 11.0% XDCUSD, BTRSTUSD, MLNUSD, NCTUSD, ASTUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02260 4.75× 38.3% 24.4% MKRUSD, ETHUSD, TRACUSD, ETHAUD, XDCUSD
BTCJPY 5 0.02176 4.57× 36.8% 33.0% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, QNTUSD, OXYUSD, LTCEUR
XDCUSD 6 0.01938 4.07× 34.9% 6.7% TUSD, STORJUSD, GYENUSD, XAUTUSD, XRPBTC
TSDUSD 7 0.01903 4.00× 39.2% 40.2% CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, ETCUSD, EGLDUSD, LINKUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01818 3.82× 36.4% 20.6% GNOUSD, MLNUSD, RUNEUSD, CHZUSD, BADGERUSD
REPUSD 9 0.01507 3.16× 26.3% 17.7% TRXUSD, ASMUSD, IOTUSD, SEIEUR, NCTUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01427 3.00× 31.1% 5.7% XAUTUSD, LTCBTC, BNTUSD, TRXUSD, PAXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.025370.00626 +0.01910
BTCJPY 0.021760.00637 +0.01539
TSDUSD 0.019030.00459 +0.01444
XDCUSD 0.019380.00609 +0.01329
XRPBTC 0.022820.01449 +0.00833

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011480.02759 -0.01610
LTCBTC 0.009910.02228 -0.01237
ORCAUSD 0.004320.01570 -0.01138
KRLUSD 0.014270.02477 -0.01050
ETHBTC 0.009270.01839 -0.00912

Foreign exchange

USDNGN was the most central name, carrying 11.76× the influence of an average node across 552 pairs.

pairs
552
Density
0.032
Clustering
0.374
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDNGN 1 0.02131 11.76× 5.1% 2.2% JPYRSD, VNDJPY, EGPJPY, ARSMXN, IDRZAR
ZAREGP 2 0.01060 5.85× 21.4% 6.2% ZMWZAR, HUFCAD, SEKZAR, SGDSEK, CZKCAD
COPMXN 3 0.01005 5.55× 13.8% 3.3% COPUSD, ZARMXN, DKKRUB, CNYZAR, JPYTHB
COPUSD 4 0.00997 5.51× 17.8% 5.1% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZARDKK, GBPCAD, ZAREGP
ARSJPY 5 0.00969 5.35× 2.0% 0.2% USDNGN
SEKUSD 6 0.00933 5.15× 19.6% 3.1% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, GBPCRC, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
JPYTHB 7 0.00883 4.87× 19.6% 4.5% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, ZARSEK, CHFJPY
ZARMXN 8 0.00857 4.73× 19.2% 8.7% CNYZAR, COPUSD, ZARDKK, ZARNOK, AUDTHB
DKKRUB 9 0.00824 4.55× 11.6% 3.6% CNYZAR, SEKAUD, TRYZAR, CADTHB, USDNOK
RUBNOK 10 0.00736 4.06× 3.3% 2.4% SGDBRL, CHFBRL, BRLSGD, ILSAED, ILSJOD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNGN 0.021310.00148 +0.01983
ARSJPY 0.009690.00032 +0.00937
SEKUSD 0.009330.00038 +0.00895
ZAREGP 0.010600.00241 +0.00820
JPYRSD 0.007140.00060 +0.00654

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.004140.02072 -0.01658
ZARHKD 0.001020.00822 -0.00720
LKRZAR 0.001290.00774 -0.00644
SGDZAR 0.003130.00884 -0.00571
ZARUSD 0.002020.00762 -0.00561

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.