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Daily network digest

Friday, December 27, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.47× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.092
Clustering
0.346
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02592 5.47× 44.3% 36.2% REQUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, BOBAUSD, DOGEUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02425 5.12× 43.3% 10.0% XDCUSD, BTRSTUSD, MLNUSD, ASTUSD, DOGEUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02416 5.10× 41.0% 14.8% MKRUSD, ASTUSD, MAGICUSD, BANDUSD, BONDUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02168 4.57× 36.2% 21.4% JSTUSD, MKRUSD, ETHUSD, TRACUSD, ALPHAUSD
BTCJPY 5 0.02167 4.57× 37.1% 34.3% LTCAUD, LTCUSD, OXYUSD, QNTUSD, LTCEUR
XDCUSD 6 0.02027 4.28× 35.2% 6.7% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, XRPBTC, XAUTUSD
TSDUSD 7 0.01934 4.08× 40.0% 41.0% EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, ETCUSD, LINKUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01903 4.02× 35.7% 24.8% RUNEUSD, MLNUSD, KSMUSD, CHZUSD, BADGERUSD
REPUSD 9 0.01444 3.05× 22.4% 16.2% SEIEUR, TRXUSD, 1INCHUSD, GNOUSD, BTRSTUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01346 2.84× 33.3% 24.8% MASKUSD, ASTUSD, ETHAUD, CTSIUSD, ALCXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.025920.00623 +0.01969
TSDUSD 0.019340.00434 +0.01499
BTCJPY 0.021670.00704 +0.01462
XDCUSD 0.020270.00625 +0.01402
XRPBTC 0.024250.01462 +0.00963

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009800.02692 -0.01712
LTCBTC 0.009920.02277 -0.01285
KRLUSD 0.013150.02507 -0.01192
ORCAUSD 0.004490.01626 -0.01177
ETHBTC 0.007940.01759 -0.00965

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 11.64× the influence of an average node across 562 pairs.

pairs
562
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.375
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.02072 11.64× 4.3% 4.3% EURRUB, MXNCOP, CADRUB, RUBEUR, GBPZMW
SGDJPY 2 0.01118 6.28× 27.3% 8.7% DKKRUB, NOKZAR, AUDMXN, NZDMXN, XAUBRL
SGDZAR 3 0.00884 4.97× 11.6% 5.9% ZARSEK, XAGMXN, XAGJPY, CADTHB, ZARNOK
ZARHKD 4 0.00822 4.62× 19.6% 3.9% EURGBP, COPMXN, DKKRUB, USDZAR, CHFJPY
CNYZAR 5 0.00788 4.43× 14.8% 7.7% NZDUSD, CADTHB, MXNAUD, SEKNOK, COPMXN
LKRZAR 6 0.00774 4.35× 11.4% 5.3% XAGJPY, CADTHB, JPYHKD, ZARSEK, NZDUSD
ZARUSD 7 0.00762 4.28× 21.0% 5.7% XAUARS, EURGBP, LKRZAR, XAGARS, DKKRUB
EURGBP 8 0.00737 4.14× 8.0% 3.7% ZARNZD, NOKZAR, ZARPHP, DKKRUB, ZARGBP
COPMXN 9 0.00727 4.09× 13.5% 13.7% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, NZDMXN, ZARPHP, ZARMXN
JPYCLP 10 0.00687 3.86× 2.0% 2.7% JPYSEK, JPYIDR, PHPJPY, JPYGBP, AUDTRY

Rising influence vs 2024-12-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.020720.00404 +0.01667
ZARHKD 0.008220.00071 +0.00751
SGDZAR 0.008840.00238 +0.00647
LKRZAR 0.007740.00134 +0.00639
SGDJPY 0.011180.00487 +0.00630

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARARS 0.001140.00968 -0.00854
USDNGN 0.001480.00928 -0.00780
SEKUSD 0.000380.00631 -0.00592
ZAREGP 0.002410.00791 -0.00550
KRWMYR 0.000400.00588 -0.00548

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.