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Daily network digest

Thursday, December 26, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.00× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.091
Clustering
0.316
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02842 6.00× 47.6% 16.2% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, SOLUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.02692 5.68× 44.8% 14.8% ETHUSD, MDTUSD, AXSUSD, HBARUSD, KRLUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02537 5.35× 45.7% 15.2% GHSTUSD, FXUSD, OXTUSD, PRIMEUSD, ACHUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02507 5.29× 41.9% 6.7% TRXUSD, BANDUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, DYDXUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.02277 4.80× 42.4% 6.7% PAXGUSD, HBARUSD, DIAUSD, XAUTUSD, TRXUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.02075 4.38× 41.4% 10.0% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, MATICUSD, OXYUSD
REPUSD 7 0.01767 3.73× 31.0% 10.5% AUCTIONUSD, FXUSD, XAUTUSD, SGBUSD, ICPUSD
ETHBTC 8 0.01759 3.71× 44.8% 19.0% LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, XDCUSD, LTCBTC
ORCAUSD 9 0.01626 3.43× 33.3% 12.9% ABTUSD, FISUSD, EGLDUSD, BTTUSD, AERGOUSD
XRPBTC 10 0.01462 3.08× 34.3% 14.3% XAUTUSD, GHSTUSD, CHRUSD, GYENUSD, XDCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.026920.00772 +0.01920
HNTUSD 0.020750.00511 +0.01564
ORCAUSD 0.016260.00408 +0.01218
AUCTIONUSD 0.013610.00575 +0.00786
CHRUSD 0.010170.00247 +0.00770

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.014620.03337 -0.01875
XMRUSD 0.003470.01494 -0.01148
TRACUSD 0.009330.01991 -0.01059
XYOUSD 0.002060.01255 -0.01048
REPUSD 0.017670.02681 -0.00914

Foreign exchange

ZARARS was the most central name, carrying 5.31× the influence of an average node across 549 pairs.

pairs
549
Density
0.040
Clustering
0.382
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARARS 1 0.00968 5.31× 1.8% 4.7% ZARUGX, CADCOP, UGXZAR, COPCAD, GHSZAR
USDNGN 2 0.00928 5.09× 5.7% 2.9% USDDOP, JPYRSD, USDPGK, VNDJPY, EGPJPY
COPMXN 3 0.00907 4.98× 18.2% 4.7% COPUSD, ZARMXN, DKKRUB, XAGAUD, CNYZAR
COPUSD 4 0.00822 4.51× 19.9% 7.8% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZAREGP, ZARDKK, GBPCAD
ZAREGP 5 0.00791 4.34× 22.6% 8.0% ZMWZAR, XAUBRL, HUFCAD, XAGTRY, CZKCAD
IDRZAR 6 0.00779 4.28× 3.5% 0.5% JPYGBP, CHFMYR, JPYMYR
DKKRUB 7 0.00770 4.23× 13.3% 5.8% XAGINR, XAGRUB, XAGCAD, XAGTRY, XAGGBP
ZARMXN 8 0.00732 4.02× 24.1% 10.4% XAGINR, ZARDKK, COPUSD, XAGTRY, CNYZAR
USDLBP 9 0.00698 3.83× 2.6% 0.5% USDPEN, RUBDKK, SEKRUB
RUBDKK 10 0.00683 3.75× 3.5% 2.4% ILSAED, ILSJOD, ILSUSD, SGDBRL, ILSPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-12-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARARS 0.009680.00139 +0.00829
IDRZAR 0.007790.00075 +0.00703
JPYTHB 0.006290.00057 +0.00572
USDLBP 0.006980.00137 +0.00560
AUDSEK 0.006800.00146 +0.00534

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLAUD 0.000340.00665 -0.00631
PLNILS 0.001310.00678 -0.00548
ZARCZK 0.000520.00592 -0.00539
CZKZAR 0.000540.00567 -0.00513
USDALL 0.001750.00641 -0.00466

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.