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Daily network digest

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.04× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.101
Clustering
0.351
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03337 7.04× 64.3% 12.4% TRBUSD, XRDUSD, SRMUSD, TRACUSD, MAGICUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02681 5.66× 57.1% 20.5% ENJUSD, TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, ICPUSD, PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02622 5.53× 56.2% 28.6% HIGHUSD, CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, IMXUSD, LOKAUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.02304 4.86× 39.0% 13.8% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, XLMUSD, TRXUSD, NEXOUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.02172 4.58× 49.5% 5.7% LTCBTC, USTUSD, ETHBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.02092 4.41× 50.5% 33.8% API3USD, SKLUSD, HIGHUSD, IMXUSD, CTSIUSD
TRACUSD 7 0.01991 4.20× 46.7% 11.0% DYDXUSD, LQTYUSD, JASMYUSD, TRBUSD, WBTCUSD
TRXUSD 8 0.01813 3.83× 28.6% 19.0% DOGEUSD, ABTUSD, VTHOUSD, ARPAUSD, ICPUSD
XMRUSD 9 0.01494 3.15× 30.5% 26.2% INJUSD, BTCJPY, ALGOUSD, SANDUSD, PUNDIXUSD
GYENUSD 10 0.01457 3.07× 32.9% 34.3% ICXUSD, LTCUSD, CVCUSD, MANAUSD, SCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.023040.00970 +0.01334
REPUSD 0.026810.01418 +0.01263
TRACUSD 0.019910.00867 +0.01124
XRPBTC 0.033370.02389 +0.00947
XYOUSD 0.012550.00542 +0.00713

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.004980.02519 -0.02021
TSDUSD 0.001560.01605 -0.01449
HNTUSD 0.005110.01643 -0.01133
GYENUSD 0.014570.02576 -0.01119
XDCUSD 0.009540.01903 -0.00949

Foreign exchange

ZMWZAR was the most central name, carrying 3.80× the influence of an average node across 519 pairs.

pairs
519
Density
0.034
Clustering
0.366
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZMWZAR 1 0.00732 3.80× 16.0% 8.3% XAGSAR, XAGUSD, XAGINR, ZARSEK, XAGRUB
RWFGBP 2 0.00704 3.66× 2.9% 1.9% COPBRL, PENBRL, BRLHKD, MXNBRL, BRLSGD
GBPRWF 3 0.00689 3.58× 2.9% 1.9% COPBRL, PENBRL, BRLRSD, BRLHKD, BRLSGD
PLNILS 4 0.00678 3.52× 3.1% 3.3% USDPGK, USDMAD, USDNGN, ILSPLN, GBPSCR
BRLAUD 5 0.00665 3.45× 1.9% 1.5% BRLCOP, BRLEUR, KRWBRL, BRLMXN, ZARMYR
USDALL 6 0.00641 3.33× 2.7% 1.0% USDBIF, PLNILS, AEDSEK, JODILS, GBPSCR
DKKRUB 7 0.00636 3.30× 6.8% 3.7% ZARKRW, KRWZAR, THBJPY, AUDTHB, SGDZAR
SCRUSD 8 0.00623 3.23× 3.9% 1.0% USDMAD, PLNILS, USDPEN, THBMYR, LBPUSD
GBPNGN 9 0.00612 3.18× 1.7% 1.4% ARSCLP, GBPLBP, GBPLYD, EURZMW, CLPCNY
XAURUB 10 0.00602 3.13× 9.7% 13.1% ILSSEK, MXNCAD, MXNHKD, ZAREUR, TWDSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-12-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RWFGBP 0.007040.00102 +0.00602
GBPRWF 0.006890.00095 +0.00594
XAUEUR 0.005920.00083 +0.00510
ZMWZAR 0.007320.00255 +0.00477
SEKUSD 0.004860.00038 +0.00447

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYCLP 0.001360.01318 -0.01182
SGDJPY 0.002880.01133 -0.00845
ZARHKD 0.000500.00868 -0.00818
SGDZAR 0.001450.00892 -0.00747
COPBRL 0.003150.00987 -0.00672

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.