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Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

GYENUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.44× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.091
Clustering
0.343
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GYENUSD 1 0.02576 5.44× 43.8% 31.4% REQUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, GHSTUSD, MLNUSD
BTCJPY 2 0.02519 5.32× 43.3% 34.8% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, QNTUSD, NEXOUSD, KAVAUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02443 5.16× 43.3% 15.2% MKRUSD, BONDUSD, BANDUSD, ASTUSD, REPUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.02389 5.04× 41.0% 11.9% XDCUSD, BTRSTUSD, MLNUSD, XTZUSD, GYENUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.02261 4.77× 39.0% 23.3% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, ALPHAUSD, TRACUSD, JSTUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01903 4.01× 31.4% 5.2% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, XAUTUSD, HNTUSD
HNTUSD 7 0.01643 3.47× 27.6% 23.8% KSMUSD, RUNEUSD, BADGERUSD, ATOMUSD, GNOUSD
TSDUSD 8 0.01605 3.39× 36.2% 38.6% EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, CGLDUSD, ALGOUSD, ETCUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01527 3.22× 31.0% 5.7% TRXUSD, XRPBTC, XAUTUSD, LTCBTC, BNTUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.01423 3.00× 32.4% 39.5% XTZUSD, BTCEUR, FLOWUSD, WBTCUSD, LTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-12-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.025760.00614 +0.01962
BTCJPY 0.025190.00916 +0.01604
TSDUSD 0.016050.00428 +0.01177
XDCUSD 0.019030.00735 +0.01168
XRPBTC 0.023890.01421 +0.00969

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011780.02422 -0.01245
LTCBTC 0.009700.02142 -0.01172
ORCAUSD 0.004760.01559 -0.01083
ETHBTC 0.008360.01809 -0.00973
ZENUSD 0.001940.01027 -0.00833

Foreign exchange

JPYCLP was the most central name, carrying 7.32× the influence of an average node across 555 pairs.

pairs
555
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.379
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
JPYCLP 1 0.01318 7.32× 1.8% 2.5% PHPJPY, JPYSEK, JPYGBP, JPYIDR, AUDTRY
SGDJPY 2 0.01133 6.29× 26.9% 7.8% DKKRUB, NZDMXN, AUDMXN, NZDJPY, PENMXN
COPBRL 3 0.00987 5.48× 6.3% 4.7% EURRUB, RUBEUR, BHDEUR, KWDEUR, ZARRWF
SGDZAR 4 0.00892 4.95× 11.0% 6.1% XAGJPY, XAGMXN, ZARSEK, CADTHB, HKDSEK
ZARHKD 5 0.00868 4.82× 20.4% 4.9% EURGBP, DKKRUB, COPMXN, CHFJPY, USDZAR
CNYZAR 6 0.00803 4.46× 14.4% 6.5% CADTHB, NZDUSD, AUDMXN, COPMXN, MXNDKK
LKRZAR 7 0.00794 4.41× 11.4% 5.2% XAGJPY, CADTHB, JPYHKD, NZDUSD, ZARSEK
COPMXN 8 0.00759 4.21× 14.4% 14.4% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, NZDMXN, ZARPHP, ZARMXN
ZARUSD 9 0.00756 4.19× 20.8% 6.5% XAUARS, EURGBP, LKRZAR, XAGARS, DKKRUB
EURGBP 10 0.00755 4.19× 7.9% 3.2% ZARNZD, ZARGBP, ZARPHP, XAUMXN, ZARKRW

Rising influence vs 2024-12-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYCLP 0.013180.00154 +0.01164
SGDJPY 0.011330.00259 +0.00874
ZARHKD 0.008680.00097 +0.00771
LKRZAR 0.007940.00124 +0.00670
ZARUSD 0.007560.00151 +0.00605

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKUSD 0.000380.00868 -0.00829
ZAREGP 0.002470.01002 -0.00755
JPYTHB 0.002370.00809 -0.00572
USDNGN 0.001930.00674 -0.00481
COPUSD 0.004640.00934 -0.00470

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.