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Daily network digest

Monday, December 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.39× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.325
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02557 5.39× 45.7% 16.7% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, MKRUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02446 5.16× 43.3% 14.3% OXTUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, AVAXUSD, ACHUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.02422 5.11× 42.9% 13.8% ETHUSD, AXSUSD, KRLUSD, MDTUSD, STORJUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02316 4.89× 42.9% 7.6% TRXUSD, HIGHUSD, BTRSTUSD, PAXUSD, BANDUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.02142 4.52× 45.2% 10.0% PAXGUSD, HBARUSD, DIAUSD, XAUTUSD, JSTUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.02085 4.40× 40.0% 12.4% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, MATICUSD, DYDXUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01809 3.82× 45.2% 19.5% LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
ORCAUSD 8 0.01559 3.29× 33.8% 10.5% EGLDUSD, AUCTIONUSD, FISUSD, USTUSD, YGGEUR
REPUSD 9 0.01512 3.19× 29.0% 9.5% AUCTIONUSD, FXUSD, SGBUSD, XAUTUSD, ICPUSD
XRPBTC 10 0.01421 3.00× 34.3% 16.2% GHSTUSD, XAUTUSD, RNDRUSD, ASMUSD, GYENUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.024220.00584 +0.01838
HNTUSD 0.020850.00420 +0.01665
ORCAUSD 0.015590.00480 +0.01079
AUCTIONUSD 0.013670.00507 +0.00859
CHRUSD 0.009730.00185 +0.00789

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.014210.03323 -0.01902
REPUSD 0.015120.02720 -0.01207
XMRUSD 0.004290.01520 -0.01091
TRACUSD 0.009940.02044 -0.01050
XYOUSD 0.002420.01257 -0.01014

Foreign exchange

ZAREGP was the most central name, carrying 5.78× the influence of an average node across 577 pairs.

pairs
577
Density
0.030
Clustering
0.351
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZAREGP 1 0.01002 5.78× 20.5% 5.7% ZMWZAR, HUFCAD, CZKCAD, SEKZAR, CNYCAD
DKKRUB 2 0.00974 5.62× 11.6% 4.0% CNYZAR, CADTHB, USDNOK, SEKCZK, TRYZAR
COPMXN 3 0.00939 5.42× 13.5% 3.0% COPUSD, DKKRUB, ZARMXN, EURGBP, CNYZAR
COPUSD 4 0.00934 5.39× 17.0% 5.0% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZAREGP, ZARDKK, CHFILS
SEKUSD 5 0.00868 5.01× 18.8% 2.8% TWDCHF, GBPCRC, CRCGBP, CHFJPY, AUDNZD
JPYTHB 6 0.00809 4.67× 18.8% 4.0% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, AUDNZD, ZARSEK
ZARMXN 7 0.00809 4.67× 18.9% 9.4% CNYZAR, COPUSD, TWDSEK, ZARDKK, ZARNOK
USDPGK 8 0.00748 4.32× 4.0% 2.8% NZDAED, AUDAED, NOKAED, USDLBP, JPYINR
AUDSEK 9 0.00699 4.03× 19.6% 4.7% AUDCLP, CLPAUD, SEKUSD, USDCNH, NOKSEK
COPBRL 10 0.00696 4.02× 2.4% 1.0% EURZMW, EURBRL, ARSBRL, CADRUB, PENBRL

Rising influence vs 2024-12-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKUSD 0.008680.00040 +0.00828
ZAREGP 0.010020.00292 +0.00710
DKKRUB 0.009740.00304 +0.00670
JPYTHB 0.008090.00245 +0.00564
USDNGN 0.006740.00163 +0.00511

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.000680.01306 -0.01237
JPYCLP 0.001540.01069 -0.00915
LKRZAR 0.001240.00870 -0.00746
SGDZAR 0.003560.01050 -0.00694
COPARS 0.001910.00739 -0.00548

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.