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Daily network digest

Friday, December 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.10× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.089
Clustering
0.312
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02889 6.10× 46.7% 14.3% AXSUSD, ETHUSD, DNTUSD, MDTUSD, KRLUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02591 5.47× 44.8% 14.8% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD, ACHUSD, MKRUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02502 5.28× 45.2% 13.8% OXTUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, PRIMEUSD, AVAXUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02495 5.26× 42.4% 6.7% HIGHUSD, TRXUSD, BANDUSD, PAXUSD, BTRSTUSD
HNTUSD 5 0.02148 4.53× 41.0% 11.9% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, MATICUSD, FTMUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01912 4.03× 39.5% 7.6% PAXGUSD, DIAUSD, XAUTUSD, HBARUSD, YFIUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01734 3.66× 42.4% 15.2% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01617 3.41× 31.4% 9.0% FXUSD, AUCTIONUSD, ICPUSD, SGBUSD, XAUTUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01576 3.32× 31.0% 10.5% FISUSD, EGLDUSD, ABTUSD, USTUSD, XDCUSD
JSTUSD 10 0.01328 2.80× 28.1% 10.0% SOLUSD, LCXUSD, PNKUSD, XAUTUSD, ORCAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.028890.00741 +0.02148
HNTUSD 0.021480.00476 +0.01671
ORCAUSD 0.015760.00490 +0.01085
CHRUSD 0.012660.00277 +0.00989
AUCTIONUSD 0.012910.00585 +0.00707

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.011910.03499 -0.02308
TRACUSD 0.008120.02161 -0.01349
REPUSD 0.016170.02875 -0.01258
XYOUSD 0.002140.01285 -0.01071
TRBUSD 0.003450.01346 -0.01000

Foreign exchange

KRWBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.21× the influence of an average node across 552 pairs.

pairs
552
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.369
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRWBRL 1 0.01306 7.21× 17.4% 4.5% ZARNOK, CZKCAD, HUFCAD, AUDNZD, ZARDKK
JPYCLP 2 0.01069 5.90× 1.8% 2.5% PHPJPY, JPYSEK, JPYIDR, JPYGBP, AUDTRY
SGDZAR 3 0.01050 5.80× 12.2% 6.0% XAGJPY, ZARSEK, XAGMXN, CADTHB, ZARNOK
COPBRL 4 0.00957 5.28× 6.5% 4.9% EURRUB, RUBEUR, KWDEUR, BHDEUR, ZARRWF
CNYZAR 5 0.00929 5.13× 14.9% 7.8% CADTHB, NZDUSD, MXNAUD, SEKNOK, AUDMXN
LKRZAR 6 0.00870 4.80× 10.9% 5.4% XAGJPY, CADTHB, JPYHKD, USDSEK, ZARSEK
COPMXN 7 0.00757 4.18× 15.2% 14.0% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, XAGAUD, NZDMXN, ZARPHP
COPARS 8 0.00739 4.08× 2.2% 0.5% ARSCOP, CLPCNY, ARSCLP
CHFBRL 9 0.00643 3.55× 4.0% 1.6% CADRUB, EURRUB, RUBEUR, RUBUSD, COPBRL
EURGBP 10 0.00571 3.15× 5.3% 4.0% ZARNZD, ZARPHP, ZARGBP, DKKRUB, XAUMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-12-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.013060.00120 +0.01185
JPYCLP 0.010690.00107 +0.00963
SGDZAR 0.010500.00198 +0.00852
LKRZAR 0.008700.00116 +0.00753
GBPNGN 0.004840.00029 +0.00455

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURZMW 0.003770.01244 -0.00867
COPBRL 0.009570.01758 -0.00801
KRWMYR 0.000410.00688 -0.00648
IDRZAR 0.004200.00986 -0.00566
SEKUSD 0.000400.00573 -0.00533

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.