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Daily network digest

Thursday, December 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.38× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.102
Clustering
0.340
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03499 7.38× 62.9% 9.0% TRBUSD, XRDUSD, TRACUSD, DASHUSD, KRLUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02875 6.07× 53.3% 18.1% TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, QTUMUSD, SRMUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02582 5.45× 54.3% 27.6% SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, HIGHUSD, FORTHUSD, LOKAUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02195 4.63× 49.0% 4.8% XRPBTC, LTCBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ABTUSD
TRACUSD 5 0.02161 4.56× 51.0% 9.0% TRBUSD, LQTYUSD, DYDXUSD, JASMYUSD, BTCGBP
XAUTUSD 6 0.02149 4.54× 52.4% 31.9% HIGHUSD, BNTUSD, CTSIUSD, IMXUSD, SKLUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.02125 4.48× 38.1% 18.1% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, UMAUSD, DIAUSD
TRXUSD 8 0.01780 3.76× 31.9% 15.7% DOGEUSD, ABTUSD, VTHOUSD, BADGERUSD, KEEPUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01611 3.40× 39.0% 11.4% REPUSD, LTCBTC, FXUSD, ETCUSD, TRXUSD
GYENUSD 10 0.01400 2.95× 32.9% 37.1% CVCUSD, ICXUSD, LTCUSD, SCUSD, MNAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.034990.02072 +0.01427
REPUSD 0.028750.01625 +0.01250
LTCBTC 0.021250.00939 +0.01186
TRACUSD 0.021610.01185 +0.00976
XYOUSD 0.012850.00472 +0.00812

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001590.02079 -0.01921
BTCJPY 0.005230.02423 -0.01899
XDCUSD 0.009080.02115 -0.01208
HNTUSD 0.004760.01587 -0.01110
GYENUSD 0.014000.02347 -0.00946

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 10.04× the influence of an average node across 571 pairs.

pairs
571
Density
0.038
Clustering
0.362
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.01758 10.04× 5.1% 4.0% CHFBRL, HKDBRL, BRLHKD, SGDBRL, USDKZT
EURZMW 2 0.01244 7.10× 2.5% 1.8% PENCLP, CNYCLP, CLPPEN, CLPCNY, GBPLYD
IDRZAR 3 0.00986 5.63× 3.3% 0.5% JPYGBP, CHFMYR, JPYMYR
ARSCOP 4 0.00851 4.86× 2.5% 0.5% EURZMW, COPARS, ARSCLP
COPMXN 5 0.00824 4.71× 17.7% 4.4% COPUSD, DKKRUB, ZARMXN, SEKUSD, USDCNH
COPUSD 6 0.00748 4.27× 19.5% 7.4% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZARDKK, ZAREGP, XAUMXN
ZAREGP 7 0.00734 4.19× 22.5% 6.8% ZMWZAR, XAUBRL, TRYPLN, XAGTRY, SEKZAR
DKKRUB 8 0.00708 4.04× 13.5% 6.0% CNYZAR, XAGAUD, XAGINR, XAGKRW, USDNOK
KRWMYR 9 0.00688 3.93× 3.7% 1.2% CHFTWD, CHFIDR, GBPBRL, USDBRL, BRLUSD
CLPARS 10 0.00675 3.85× 0.7% 0.2% GBPXPF

Rising influence vs 2024-12-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.017580.00290 +0.01468
IDRZAR 0.009860.00088 +0.00898
ARSCOP 0.008510.00060 +0.00792
EURZMW 0.012440.00522 +0.00722
KRWMYR 0.006880.00056 +0.00632

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.000290.01055 -0.01026
USDNGN 0.005580.01428 -0.00870
RWFGBP 0.000920.00678 -0.00587
GBPRWF 0.000910.00666 -0.00574
PLNILS 0.000880.00660 -0.00572

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.