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Daily network digest

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTCJPY was the most central name, carrying 5.11× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.093
Clustering
0.344
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTCJPY 1 0.02423 5.11× 41.0% 35.7% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, QNTUSD, NEOUSD, OXYUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02417 5.10× 43.8% 12.4% MKRUSD, HNTUSD, REPUSD, ASTUSD, BONDUSD
GYENUSD 3 0.02347 4.95× 41.9% 33.8% REQUSD, PNKUSD, DNTUSD, SKLUSD, AIOZUSD
XDCUSD 4 0.02115 4.46× 38.1% 11.9% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, FETUSD, XAUTUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.02079 4.39× 45.7% 35.7% QTUMUSD, CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, SCUSD, ETCUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.02072 4.37× 38.1% 11.4% BTRSTUSD, XDCUSD, FETUSD, GYENUSD, XTZUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.02021 4.26× 36.7% 22.4% MKRUSD, ETHUSD, AVAXUSD, JSTUSD, TRACUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01625 3.43× 24.3% 12.9% ASMUSD, 1INCHUSD, IOTUSD, TRXUSD, JSTUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01605 3.39× 33.3% 5.7% TRXUSD, XAUTUSD, XRPBTC, PAXUSD, LTCBTC
HNTUSD 10 0.01587 3.35× 29.5% 21.0% RUNEUSD, KSMUSD, NEXOUSD, LTCBTC, ROSEUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.023470.00582 +0.01765
TSDUSD 0.020790.00411 +0.01669
BTCJPY 0.024230.00810 +0.01612
XDCUSD 0.021150.00773 +0.01342
XRPBTC 0.020720.01174 +0.00899

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009450.02375 -0.01430
ETHBTC 0.007580.02000 -0.01242
LTCBTC 0.009390.02128 -0.01189
ORCAUSD 0.003720.01420 -0.01048
ZENUSD 0.002140.01093 -0.00879

Foreign exchange

USDNGN was the most central name, carrying 7.79× the influence of an average node across 546 pairs.

pairs
546
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.347
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDNGN 1 0.01428 7.79× 6.6% 1.8% USDDOP, USDPGK, PLNILS, SEKRUB, SCRGBP
GBPNGN 2 0.01055 5.76× 2.0% 0.9% GBPLYD, GBPLBP, ARSCLP, CLPCNY, SZLEUR
SCRUSD 3 0.00716 3.91× 4.4% 0.6% KWDGBP, AEDDKK, LBPUSD
ZMWZAR 4 0.00690 3.77× 17.8% 7.0% XAGINR, ZARSEK, XAGSAR, XAGUSD, ZARNZD
RWFGBP 5 0.00678 3.70× 2.8% 1.8% COPBRL, BRLSGD, BRLHKD, MXNBRL, PENBRL
NOKILS 6 0.00677 3.70× 9.7% 8.6% XAGEUR, KRWSEK, XAUZAR, CZKZAR, DKKRUB
GBPRWF 7 0.00666 3.63× 2.9% 1.8% COPBRL, PENBRL, BRLHKD, MXNBRL, BRLSGD
USDALL 8 0.00663 3.62× 2.6% 0.6% USDBIF, AEDSEK, PLNILS
PLNILS 9 0.00660 3.61× 3.5% 2.9% USDPGK, USDSCR, USDNGN, USDMAD, ILSPLN
DKKRUB 10 0.00624 3.41× 5.9% 3.3% ILSSEK, ZARNZD, XAGMXN, THBJPY, AUDTHB

Rising influence vs 2024-12-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNGN 0.014280.00168 +0.01260
GBPNGN 0.010550.00333 +0.00721
RWFGBP 0.006780.00090 +0.00588
GBPRWF 0.006660.00097 +0.00568
XAUEUR 0.006230.00087 +0.00535

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.000550.01266 -0.01211
SGDZAR 0.001460.01024 -0.00878
JPYCLP 0.001120.00849 -0.00737
COPBRL 0.002900.00970 -0.00680
COPARS 0.001610.00706 -0.00545

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.