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Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.01× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.098
Clustering
0.331
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02375 5.01× 42.9% 18.6% AXSUSD, ETHUSD, DNTUSD, FETUSD, HBARUSD
XAUTUSD 2 0.02336 4.93× 47.6% 13.8% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD, SOLUSD, ACHUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02258 4.76× 42.4% 7.6% HIGHUSD, TRXUSD, BANDUSD, FORTHUSD, PAXUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02222 4.69× 44.3% 13.8% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD, PRIMEUSD, ACHUSD
HNTUSD 5 0.02216 4.67× 47.1% 13.8% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, 1INCHUSD, FTMUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.02128 4.49× 43.3% 11.9% PAXGUSD, DIAUSD, BALUSD, HBARUSD, XAUTUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.02000 4.22× 51.0% 19.0% XDCUSD, LUNAUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, REPUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01671 3.53× 34.8% 7.6% AUCTIONUSD, SGBUSD, FXUSD, BTCGBP, XAUTUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01420 3.00× 33.8% 10.0% EGLDUSD, USTUSD, TRXUSD, YGGEUR, FISUSD
AUCTIONUSD 10 0.01290 2.72× 21.9% 11.0% BTCJPY, KRLUSD, MIRUSD, ZECUSD, ORCAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.022160.00525 +0.01691
BTRSTUSD 0.023750.00856 +0.01519
ORCAUSD 0.014200.00390 +0.01030
CHRUSD 0.010620.00231 +0.00830
AUCTIONUSD 0.012900.00487 +0.00803

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.011740.03130 -0.01956
TRACUSD 0.008870.01987 -0.01100
XYOUSD 0.002150.01312 -0.01097
REPUSD 0.016710.02754 -0.01083
TRBUSD 0.003020.01194 -0.00892

Foreign exchange

KRWBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.03× the influence of an average node across 555 pairs.

pairs
555
Density
0.039
Clustering
0.379
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRWBRL 1 0.01266 7.03× 17.1% 4.2% ZARNOK, CZKCAD, AUDNZD, HUFCAD, DKKRUB
SGDZAR 2 0.01024 5.68× 12.3% 5.8% XAGJPY, ZARSEK, XAGMXN, CADTHB, ZARNOK
COPBRL 3 0.00970 5.38× 6.5% 5.2% EURRUB, RUBEUR, CADRUB, MXNCOP, RUBUSD
CNYZAR 4 0.00902 5.01× 15.3% 7.4% CADTHB, NZDUSD, MXNAUD, COPMXN, SEKNOK
JPYCLP 5 0.00849 4.71× 2.0% 2.5% JPYSEK, JPYGBP, PHPJPY, JPYIDR, AUDTRY
LKRZAR 6 0.00838 4.65× 11.6% 4.9% XAGJPY, CADTHB, NZDUSD, JPYHKD, USDSEK
COPMXN 7 0.00712 3.95× 14.1% 13.5% AUDMXN, MXNAUD, XAGAUD, NZDMXN, ZARPHP
COPARS 8 0.00706 3.92× 2.3% 0.4% ARSCOP, CLPCNY
CHFBRL 9 0.00630 3.50× 4.0% 1.6% EURRUB, RUBUSD, RUBEUR, COPBRL, MXNCOP
SGDJPY 10 0.00611 3.39× 20.9% 7.9% MXNSGD, NZDMXN, DKKRUB, SGDMXN, NZDJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-12-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.012660.00121 +0.01144
SGDZAR 0.010240.00301 +0.00722
LKRZAR 0.008380.00121 +0.00717
JPYCLP 0.008490.00154 +0.00695
COPARS 0.007060.00087 +0.00619

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.004110.01310 -0.00899
COPBRL 0.009700.01845 -0.00875
SEKUSD 0.000390.00804 -0.00765
ZAREGP 0.002770.00895 -0.00618
DKKRUB 0.003240.00935 -0.00611

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.