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Daily network digest

Monday, December 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.60× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.111
Clustering
0.356
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03130 6.60× 62.4% 11.4% TRBUSD, XRDUSD, MAGICUSD, DASHUSD, SRMUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02754 5.81× 56.7% 21.4% TIAUSD, VETUSD, QTUMUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02360 4.98× 53.3% 29.0% CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, API3USD, HIGHUSD, IMXUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.02284 4.82× 43.3% 21.0% ELAUSD, BNTUSD, RUNEUSD, UMAUSD, BTCAUD
KRLUSD 5 0.02179 4.60× 54.3% 5.7% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ETHBTC
TRACUSD 6 0.01987 4.19× 51.0% 10.5% TRBUSD, LQTYUSD, DYDXUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCGBP
XAUTUSD 7 0.01963 4.14× 51.4% 32.4% SKLUSD, API3USD, HIGHUSD, CTSIUSD, IMXUSD
TRXUSD 8 0.01609 3.39× 32.4% 21.4% DOGEUSD, VTHOUSD, ABTUSD, ICPUSD, ARPAUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.01462 3.09× 41.0% 16.2% REPUSD, LTCBTC, AERGOUSD, ETCUSD, MATICUSD
ETHBTC 10 0.01395 2.94× 41.0% 21.0% DSHUSD, REPUSD, DASHUSD, XRPBTC, BATUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.022840.01053 +0.01231
XRPBTC 0.031300.01983 +0.01147
REPUSD 0.027540.01637 +0.01117
TRACUSD 0.019870.01102 +0.00885
XYOUSD 0.013120.00518 +0.00794

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.005880.02491 -0.01904
TSDUSD 0.001580.01969 -0.01810
GYENUSD 0.012020.02310 -0.01108
OXYUSD 0.003130.01199 -0.00887
HNTUSD 0.005250.01373 -0.00848

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 10.79× the influence of an average node across 585 pairs.

pairs
585
Density
0.029
Clustering
0.357
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.01845 10.79× 5.1% 4.1% HKDBRL, CHFBRL, RUBDKK, SGDBRL, BRLHKD
IDRZAR 2 0.01310 7.66× 3.3% 2.6% JPYGBP, XAUJPY, CHFMYR, XAUCNY, XAUCAD
DKKRUB 3 0.00935 5.47× 10.8% 6.3% CNYZAR, CADTHB, SEKAUD, SEKEUR, SEKCZK
ZAREGP 4 0.00895 5.23× 20.2% 5.3% ZMWZAR, SGDSEK, SEKZAR, CNYAUD, CNYCAD
COPUSD 5 0.00879 5.14× 16.6% 4.6% PENCAD, GBPILS, ZARDKK, GBPCAD, DKKRUB
COPMXN 6 0.00864 5.06× 13.5% 2.6% COPUSD, DKKRUB, ZARMXN, SEKUSD, EURGBP
SEKUSD 7 0.00804 4.71× 18.0% 2.7% TWDCHF, GBPCRC, CRCGBP, CHFJPY, AUDNZD
ZARMXN 8 0.00768 4.49× 19.2% 6.7% AUDTHB, COPUSD, CNYZAR, ZARDKK, ZARNOK
JPYTHB 9 0.00754 4.41× 18.3% 4.3% TWDCHF, BWPZAR, CHFJPY, ZARBWP, ZARSEK
USDNGN 10 0.00654 3.83× 4.8% 2.9% SCRGBP, JPYRSD, USDDOP, ARSMXN, USDMAD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.018450.00644 +0.01201
IDRZAR 0.013100.00193 +0.01116
SEKUSD 0.008040.00035 +0.00769
JPYTHB 0.007540.00195 +0.00559
ZAREGP 0.008950.00359 +0.00536

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLEUR 0.000620.00894 -0.00831
BRLCHF 0.001790.00694 -0.00514
KRWBRL 0.001210.00616 -0.00495
GBPNGN 0.000720.00554 -0.00482
UYUEUR 0.000940.00525 -0.00431

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.