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Daily network digest

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.66× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.098
Clustering
0.328
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02683 5.66× 50.0% 19.5% AXSUSD, DNTUSD, RNDRUSD, ETHUSD, MDTUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02332 4.92× 43.3% 11.9% HIGHUSD, TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD, DYDXEUR, BANDUSD
ETHBTC 3 0.02290 4.83× 51.9% 21.0% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, LUNAUSD, JSTUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02216 4.68× 42.9% 11.9% OXTUSD, GHSTUSD, FXUSD, AVAXUSD, OGNUSD
HNTUSD 5 0.02164 4.57× 45.7% 10.5% TRXUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, FTMUSD, MATICUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.02009 4.24× 41.9% 10.5% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, ICXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01926 4.06× 40.0% 11.0% PAXGUSD, DIAUSD, HBARUSD, VTHOUSD, XAUTUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01543 3.25× 36.7% 17.1% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, CHRUSD, XAUTUSD, GYENUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01522 3.21× 35.2% 9.0% EGLDUSD, FISUSD, XDCUSD, AUCTIONUSD, GLMUSD
AUCTIONUSD 10 0.01278 2.70× 22.9% 11.0% KRLUSD, BTCJPY, ZECUSD, MIRUSD, ACHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.026830.00778 +0.01904
HNTUSD 0.021640.00530 +0.01634
ORCAUSD 0.015220.00467 +0.01055
CHRUSD 0.011570.00341 +0.00816
AUCTIONUSD 0.012780.00553 +0.00725

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.012420.02959 -0.01717
XRPBTC 0.015430.03080 -0.01538
XYOUSD 0.002160.01414 -0.01198
TRACUSD 0.005500.01656 -0.01106
TRBUSD 0.003460.01312 -0.00966

Foreign exchange

USDNGN was the most central name, carrying 7.04× the influence of an average node across 543 pairs.

pairs
543
Density
0.032
Clustering
0.332
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDNGN 1 0.01296 7.04× 8.3% 5.2% GBPZMW, USDDOP, USDPGK, BRLHKD, PLNILS
DKKRUB 2 0.01089 5.91× 6.1% 3.3% ILSSEK, AUDTHB, ZARNZD, KRWZAR, THBJPY
USDALL 3 0.00848 4.61× 5.4% 2.2% CHFINR, ZARUGX, USDBIF, UGXZAR, CHFCNY
BRLPEN 4 0.00796 4.32× 19.2% 1.3% DKKRUB, LKRZAR, XAGRUB, XAGKRW, XAGZAR
SCRUSD 5 0.00760 4.13× 9.2% 1.3% NGNUSD, GBPLRD, LRDGBP, AEDDKK, KWDGBP
USDGHS 6 0.00751 4.08× 3.9% 2.0% RUBSEK, KRWTHB, SEKRUB, GBPLRD, USDNGN
CNYZAR 7 0.00713 3.87× 4.6% 6.8% XAUMXN, ZARNZD, THBJPY, KRWZAR, XAUUSD
JODILS 8 0.00711 3.86× 3.7% 6.8% USDETB, ILSAED, ILSUSD, MXNBRL, ILSJOD
RUBEUR 9 0.00656 3.56× 7.2% 5.0% KRWTHB, SCRGBP, USDKZT, AMDGBP, KZTGBP
ZMWZAR 10 0.00650 3.53× 15.1% 7.2% BRLCHF, XAGSAR, BRLJPY, XAGINR, ZARSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-12-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNGN 0.012960.00195 +0.01101
SCRUSD 0.007600.00188 +0.00572
DKKRUB 0.010890.00522 +0.00567
USDBRL 0.006000.00065 +0.00535
ZMWZAR 0.006500.00141 +0.00510

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SGDJPY 0.002100.00855 -0.00645
COPBRL 0.001020.00655 -0.00554
KRWBRL 0.000660.00589 -0.00523
BRLEUR 0.004020.00874 -0.00472
EURLRD 0.000380.00407 -0.00368

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.