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Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.50× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.107
Clustering
0.355
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03080 6.50× 61.4% 12.4% TRBUSD, MAGICUSD, SRMUSD, DASHUSD, KRLUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02959 6.24× 57.1% 20.0% TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, ICPUSD, VETUSD, SPELLUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02237 4.72× 51.4% 6.7% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ETHBTC
PAXGUSD 4 0.02226 4.70× 51.0% 28.1% SKLUSD, API3USD, HIGHUSD, LOKAUSD, LPTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.02148 4.53× 41.0% 15.2% ELAUSD, AERGOUSD, RUNEUSD, TRXUSD, RLYUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01891 3.99× 50.0% 33.8% SKLUSD, IMXUSD, HIGHUSD, API3USD, FORTHUSD
TRXUSD 7 0.01749 3.69× 31.4% 21.9% DOGEUSD, BADGERUSD, VTHOUSD, DYDXEUR, ALCXUSD
TRACUSD 8 0.01656 3.49× 42.9% 11.9% LQTYUSD, BTCEUR, DYDXUSD, TRBUSD, LTCAUD
ETHBTC 9 0.01590 3.36× 40.0% 21.4% DSHUSD, REPUSD, XRPBTC, DASHUSD, RARIUSD
GYENUSD 10 0.01587 3.35× 39.0% 34.8% CVCUSD, SCUSD, LTCUSD, ICXUSD, BCHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.029590.01914 +0.01045
LTCBTC 0.021480.01124 +0.01024
XYOUSD 0.014140.00473 +0.00941
XRPBTC 0.030800.02279 +0.00802
TRACUSD 0.016560.00897 +0.00758

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001600.02010 -0.01849
XDCUSD 0.009620.02473 -0.01511
BTCJPY 0.003090.01762 -0.01454
HNTUSD 0.005300.01277 -0.00746
OXYUSD 0.003820.01060 -0.00678

Foreign exchange

BRLEUR was the most central name, carrying 4.99× the influence of an average node across 571 pairs.

pairs
571
Density
0.037
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLEUR 1 0.00874 4.99× 19.3% 2.6% CHFJPY, DKKRUB, XAGGBP, USDZAR, ZAREGP
SGDJPY 2 0.00855 4.88× 22.1% 9.8% XAGKRW, USDNOK, XAURUB, NZDMXN, MXNAUD
BRLPEN 3 0.00734 4.19× 15.6% 2.6% ZARNOK, CHFJPY, HUFCAD, CZKCAD, COPMXN
BRLCOP 4 0.00656 3.75× 14.9% 1.2% CADKYD, CADBMD, CADAED, DKKRUB, SGDJPY
COPBRL 5 0.00655 3.74× 2.8% 1.2% CADRUB, ARSZAR, RUBUSD, CHFRUB, BRLKRW
COPMXN 6 0.00638 3.64× 12.3% 14.0% MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGAUD, NZDMXN, ZARMXN
KRWBRL 7 0.00589 3.36× 14.4% 3.9% ZARNOK, CZKCAD, HUFCAD, XAGGBP, ZARDKK
GBPZMW 8 0.00572 3.26× 3.9% 2.6% GBPSZL, GBPLSL, USDGHS, USDPGK, SZLGBP
BRLCHF 9 0.00543 3.10× 19.6% 6.0% ZAREGP, BRLEUR, DKKRUB, ZARMXN, CHFJPY
CADKYD 10 0.00525 3.00× 6.7% 3.2% PENCAD, CHFILS, ILSAUD, ILSCAD, AUDILS

Rising influence vs 2024-12-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLEUR 0.008740.00096 +0.00778
KRWBRL 0.005890.00086 +0.00503
SGDJPY 0.008550.00431 +0.00424
XAGJPY 0.004410.00044 +0.00397
EURLRD 0.004070.00031 +0.00376

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.002460.01558 -0.01312
BRLCLP 0.000520.00814 -0.00762
SEKUSD 0.000370.00718 -0.00680
USDPGK 0.004470.00994 -0.00547
JPYTHB 0.002020.00730 -0.00528

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.