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Daily network digest

Monday, December 9, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.22× the influence of an average node across 211 assets.

assets
211
Density
0.099
Clustering
0.340
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.02473 5.22× 43.3% 11.4% TUSD, GYENUSD, STORJUSD, HNTUSD, XAUTUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02279 4.81× 43.8% 9.5% BTRSTUSD, XDCUSD, MLNUSD, GYENUSD, ELAUSD
GYENUSD 3 0.02207 4.66× 41.4% 33.8% REQUSD, PNKUSD, SKLUSD, DNTUSD, AERGOUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02206 4.65× 40.0% 11.4% BANDUSD, ASTUSD, MKRUSD, ASMUSD, HNTUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.02010 4.24× 48.1% 34.3% EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, CGLDUSD, LINKUSD, ETCUSD
REPUSD 6 0.01914 4.04× 33.8% 14.3% BTRSTUSD, 1INCHUSD, GNOUSD, IOTUSD, ASMUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01908 4.03× 38.6% 21.4% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, AVAXUSD, JSTUSD, ALPHAUSD
BTCJPY 8 0.01762 3.72× 32.4% 39.5% LTCAUD, LTCUSD, NEXOUSD, QNTUSD, LTCEUR
KRLUSD 9 0.01675 3.53× 38.6% 8.6% LTCBTC, TRXUSD, XAUTUSD, XRPBTC, BNTUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.01295 2.73× 28.1% 31.0% VETUSD, BTCGBP, INJUSD, RLYUSD, BTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-12-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GYENUSD 0.022070.00569 +0.01638
XDCUSD 0.024730.00882 +0.01591
TSDUSD 0.020100.00452 +0.01557
BTCJPY 0.017620.00553 +0.01210
ABTUSD 0.012950.00527 +0.00768

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011040.02850 -0.01746
ETHBTC 0.009820.02349 -0.01367
ORCAUSD 0.003880.01586 -0.01198
LTCBTC 0.011240.02187 -0.01062
CHRUSD 0.002530.01203 -0.00950

Foreign exchange

IDRZAR was the most central name, carrying 9.04× the influence of an average node across 580 pairs.

pairs
580
Density
0.029
Clustering
0.332
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
IDRZAR 1 0.01558 9.04× 2.2% 1.9% JPYGBP, XAUJPY, CHFMYR, XAGZAR, XAUUSD
USDPGK 2 0.00994 5.77× 10.0% 5.2% NZDAED, AUDAED, NOKAED, USDLBP, BWPUSD
DKKRUB 3 0.00994 5.76× 11.2% 6.2% CNYZAR, CADTHB, BRLMXN, USDNOK, SEKCZK
COPMXN 4 0.00837 4.86× 12.8% 3.3% COPUSD, BRLCOP, USDCOP, DKKRUB, ZARMXN
BRLCLP 5 0.00814 4.72× 6.2% 1.6% XAGBRL, KRWMYR, XAGCAD, XAGCNY, XAGEUR
ZAREGP 6 0.00803 4.66× 19.2% 5.4% ZMWZAR, SEKZAR, CNYCAD, GBPMUR, MURUSD
JODILS 7 0.00778 4.51× 5.0% 5.5% EURILS, ARSMXN, JPYINR, ILSAED, BRLSEK
COPUSD 8 0.00745 4.32× 15.7% 4.8% PENCAD, ZARDKK, ZAREGP, CHFILS, DKKRUB
JPYTHB 9 0.00730 4.23× 17.8% 4.0% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, CHFJPY, BWPZAR, ZARSEK
SEKUSD 10 0.00718 4.16× 17.6% 2.9% TWDCHF, CRCGBP, GBPCRC, CHFJPY, BRLCHF

Rising influence vs 2024-12-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.015580.00326 +0.01232
BRLCLP 0.008140.00099 +0.00715
SEKUSD 0.007180.00042 +0.00675
JPYTHB 0.007300.00066 +0.00664
USDPGK 0.009940.00520 +0.00475

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYZAR 0.004830.01494 -0.01011
BRLEUR 0.000960.00690 -0.00594
NOKAED 0.001130.00698 -0.00585
XAGJPY 0.000440.00537 -0.00493
PLNILS 0.001490.00630 -0.00481

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.