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Daily network digest

Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.23× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.097
Clustering
0.342
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.02454 5.23× 45.3% 10.4% TUSD, STORJUSD, CVCUSD, GYENUSD, XMRUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02274 4.84× 43.4% 9.9% XDCUSD, BTRSTUSD, CROUSD, ELAUSD, GYENUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02270 4.84× 41.5% 9.4% ASTUSD, MKRUSD, BANDUSD, BONDUSD, ASMUSD
XAUTUSD 4 0.02132 4.54× 40.1% 19.8% ETHUSD, MKRUSD, JSTUSD, ETHAUD, XDCUSD
TLOSUSD 5 0.02130 4.54× 39.6% 16.0% AKTEUR, QNTUSD, NEOUSD, ORCAUSD, BOBAUSD
REPUSD 6 0.02093 4.46× 34.9% 11.8% MLNUSD, HIGHUSD, ASMUSD, IOTXUSD, LPTUSD
TSDUSD 7 0.02006 4.27× 47.6% 35.8% EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, ETCUSD, LINKUSD
GYENUSD 8 0.01847 3.94× 31.1% 35.4% REQUSD, PNKUSD, RARIUSD, AERGOUSD, DNTUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01514 3.22× 34.9% 5.2% XAUTUSD, LTCBTC, TRXUSD, XRPBTC, XDCUSD
HNTUSD 10 0.01326 2.82× 28.8% 19.8% RUNEUSD, TLOSUSD, FORTUSD, NKNUSD, SUKUUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.024540.00769 +0.01685
TSDUSD 0.020060.00423 +0.01583
TLOSUSD 0.021300.00591 +0.01540
GYENUSD 0.018470.00607 +0.01240
REPUSD 0.020930.01313 +0.00780

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011040.02929 -0.01826
ORCAUSD 0.004460.01526 -0.01079
ETHBTC 0.008290.01891 -0.01063
HNTUSD 0.013260.02262 -0.00936
LTCBTC 0.012370.02033 -0.00796

Foreign exchange

CNYZAR was the most central name, carrying 8.55× the influence of an average node across 590 pairs.

pairs
590
Density
0.024
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
CNYZAR 1 0.01449 8.55× 5.3% 1.7% COPMXN, CZKMXN, MXNCZK, PENMXN, EURGBP
USDSZL 2 0.00829 4.89× 7.1% 1.7% USDPGK, RUBNOK, IDRZAR, RUBPLN, BRLUSD
SGDJPY 3 0.00821 4.85× 16.1% 8.1% XAGKRW, USDNOK, MXNAUD, NZDMXN, MXNSGD
SEKNOK 4 0.00784 4.62× 8.5% 5.9% XAUBRL, COPUSD, NZDMXN, XAGBRL, XAUSAR
USDNGN 5 0.00761 4.49× 6.8% 3.7% NGNUSD, MXNPEN, ZARKES, GBPZMW, KESZAR
GBPNGN 6 0.00731 4.31× 1.9% 0.5% UYUEUR, EURLBP, ARSCLP
CADAED 7 0.00709 4.18× 2.7% 0.5% GBPILS, ILSNOK, CADILS
GBPBRL 8 0.00693 4.09× 5.1% 0.7% JPYCLP, JODILS, RUBPLN, RUBNOK
BRLARS 9 0.00678 4.00× 12.4% 1.0% DKKRUB, XAUJPY, NOKSEK, SEKNOK, USDNOK
BRLEUR 10 0.00669 3.95× 13.8% 2.5% DKKRUB, ZAREGP, ZARAED, AEDZAR, OMRZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-12-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYZAR 0.014490.00394 +0.01055
BRLEUR 0.006690.00067 +0.00601
USDNGN 0.007610.00188 +0.00574
GBPNGN 0.007310.00186 +0.00545
IDRTHB 0.005520.00057 +0.00495

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCLP 0.000780.01149 -0.01072
JPYTHB 0.000610.00937 -0.00877
SEKUSD 0.000400.00646 -0.00607
RUBPLN 0.004100.00956 -0.00546
IDRZAR 0.003040.00815 -0.00511

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.