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Daily network digest

Monday, December 2, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.24× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.105
Clustering
0.342
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02929 6.24× 50.9% 15.6% AXSUSD, DNTUSD, KRLUSD, FETUSD, OCEANUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02262 4.82× 47.6% 15.6% TRXUSD, KRLUSD, AAVEUSD, OXYUSD, XRDUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02228 4.74× 46.2% 10.4% BTRSTUSD, BANDUSD, TRXUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02223 4.73× 42.5% 16.0% OXTUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, AVAXUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.02116 4.51× 40.1% 18.4% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, ICXUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.02033 4.33× 40.6% 9.4% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, HBARUSD, DIAUSD, VTHOUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.01891 4.03× 46.7% 21.7% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01758 3.74× 41.0% 17.9% GHSTUSD, XDCUSD, CHRUSD, XAUTUSD, LCXUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01526 3.25× 36.8% 11.8% EGLDUSD, ALCXUSD, AUCTIONUSD, MDTUSD, NEARUSD
JSTUSD 10 0.01351 2.88× 34.9% 11.8% LCXUSD, SOLUSD, ORCAUSD, PNKUSD, XAUTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-12-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.029290.00819 +0.02110
HNTUSD 0.022620.00594 +0.01668
ORCAUSD 0.015260.00452 +0.01074
AUCTIONUSD 0.013070.00493 +0.00814
CHRUSD 0.009850.00277 +0.00709

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.013130.02894 -0.01581
XRPBTC 0.017580.03181 -0.01423
XYOUSD 0.002340.01297 -0.01063
TRBUSD 0.003130.01206 -0.00893
TRACUSD 0.003840.01077 -0.00692

Foreign exchange

BRLCLP was the most central name, carrying 7.15× the influence of an average node across 622 pairs.

pairs
622
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.323
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLCLP 1 0.01149 7.15× 8.7% 2.6% XAGCNY, XAGBRL, KRWMYR, JODILS, MYRKRW
RUBNOK 2 0.00958 5.96× 7.7% 2.1% JPYMYR, USDMAD, JODILS, XAGCNY, USDKHR
RUBPLN 3 0.00956 5.95× 6.0% 2.7% XAGRUB, JPYMYR, XAGINR, JODILS, XAGUSD
JPYTHB 4 0.00937 5.83× 6.1% 1.4% TWDCHF, CHFJPY, AUDNZD, ILSNOK, CADILS
IDRZAR 5 0.00815 5.07× 2.9% 3.7% XAUJPY, OMRGBP, SGDTHB, KWDGBP, AEDSEK
DKKRUB 6 0.00798 4.96× 12.4% 3.7% USDNOK, BRLMXN, PLNEUR, PLNCHF, DKKPLN
ZAREGP 7 0.00769 4.78× 14.7% 4.2% ZMWZAR, DKKRUB, MURUSD, GBPMUR, CHFKRW
AUDSEK 8 0.00710 4.42× 7.4% 1.6% JPYNZD, CNYAUD, JPYTHB, CNYCAD, PENMXN
RUBEUR 9 0.00670 4.17× 4.0% 3.4% BRLCAD, SGDBRL, RWFGBP, KZTGBP, INRTHB
COPBRL 10 0.00658 4.09× 2.6% 1.1% RUBDKK, SEKRUB, EURBRL, NOKRUB, RUBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCLP 0.011490.00073 +0.01076
JPYTHB 0.009370.00066 +0.00871
SEKUSD 0.006460.00039 +0.00607
RUBPLN 0.009560.00350 +0.00607
ZAREGP 0.007690.00249 +0.00521

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.000680.00986 -0.00918
IDRZAR 0.008150.01458 -0.00643
JPYCLP 0.001280.00759 -0.00631
BRLEUR 0.000670.00638 -0.00570
USDNGN 0.001880.00720 -0.00532

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.