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Daily network digest

Sunday, December 1, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.78× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.110
Clustering
0.354
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03181 6.78× 66.0% 7.5% XRDUSD, DASHUSD, SRMUSD, TRBUSD, LCXUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02894 6.16× 58.5% 17.5% XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, ICPUSD, TIAUSD, ABTUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02554 5.44× 58.5% 30.2% SKLUSD, API3USD, CTSIUSD, FORTHUSD, ALPHAUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.02295 4.89× 42.5% 16.5% ELAUSD, AERGOUSD, RLYUSD, RUNEUSD, XDCUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.02224 4.74× 52.4% 5.2% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, USTUSD, ETHBTC
XAUTUSD 6 0.02086 4.44× 52.4% 29.7% API3USD, IMXUSD, CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, LOKAUSD
PNKUSD 7 0.01511 3.22× 41.0% 13.2% REPUSD, LTCBTC, MATICUSD, AERGOUSD, TUSD
ETHBTC 8 0.01510 3.22× 36.8% 21.7% REPUSD, XRPBTC, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, TRXUSD
XYOUSD 9 0.01297 2.76× 34.9% 13.7% KSMUSD, BTCAUD, YGGEUR, JSTUSD, PAXGUSD
TRXUSD 10 0.01242 2.65× 27.8% 26.9% VTHOUSD, ICPUSD, BADGERUSD, DOGEUSD, ZRXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LTCBTC 0.022950.01088 +0.01207
XRPBTC 0.031810.02251 +0.00930
XYOUSD 0.012970.00419 +0.00878
REPUSD 0.028940.02027 +0.00867
FORTUSD 0.011660.00354 +0.00812

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001860.01856 -0.01670
XDCUSD 0.011850.02599 -0.01413
TLOSUSD 0.006600.01679 -0.01019
GYENUSD 0.011400.01965 -0.00825
HNTUSD 0.005940.01256 -0.00662

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.