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Daily network digest

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.31× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.106
Clustering
0.334
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02964 6.31× 52.4% 17.0% AXSUSD, APEUSD, ETHUSD, STORJUSD, FETUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02235 4.76× 47.6% 10.8% BANDUSD, FORTHUSD, HIGHUSD, BTRSTUSD, PAXUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02154 4.59× 42.5% 14.6% OXTUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, AVAXUSD
HNTUSD 4 0.02104 4.48× 50.9% 17.5% KRLUSD, TRXUSD, MATICUSD, OXYUSD, 1INCHUSD
ETHBTC 5 0.02054 4.37× 55.2% 19.3% DSHUSD, XDCUSD, DASHUSD, LUNAUSD, QNTUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.02005 4.27× 39.2% 18.4% FXUSD, GHSTUSD, ACHUSD, OXTUSD, ICXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01927 4.10× 39.2% 10.4% PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, VTHOUSD, HBARUSD, BALUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01808 3.85× 41.5% 16.0% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, XAUTUSD, TVKUSD, GYENUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01285 2.74× 33.5% 12.3% MDTUSD, EGLDUSD, XRPBTC, ABTUSD, BOSONUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01255 2.67× 28.8% 9.9% FXUSD, AUCTIONUSD, SGBUSD, ICPUSD, XAUTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.029640.00918 +0.02046
HNTUSD 0.021040.00609 +0.01495
ORCAUSD 0.012850.00311 +0.00974
ETHBTC 0.020540.01315 +0.00739
FXUSD 0.010720.00411 +0.00661

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.012550.02857 -0.01602
XRPBTC 0.018080.03407 -0.01599
XYOUSD 0.002590.01423 -0.01164
FORTUSD 0.004020.01193 -0.00791
TRACUSD 0.003170.01050 -0.00734

Foreign exchange

IDRZAR was the most central name, carrying 8.63× the influence of an average node across 609 pairs.

pairs
609
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.357
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
IDRZAR 1 0.01417 8.63× 8.9% 4.1% USDZAR, XAUGBP, ZARILS, CLPAUD, XAUCAD
KRWBRL 2 0.00989 6.02× 6.1% 1.0% AUDNZD, NZDJPY, CHFJPY, COPMXN, GBPCLP
SGDJPY 3 0.00738 4.49× 15.0% 7.9% XAGKRW, USDNOK, NZDMXN, PENCAD, PLNEUR
USDSZL 4 0.00714 4.35× 8.2% 1.2% RUBNOK, USDPGK, RUBPLN, BRLUSD, JPYCLP
CNYZAR 5 0.00709 4.32× 5.6% 1.8% COPMXN, MXNCZK, CZKMXN, EURGBP, PENMXN
RUBNOK 6 0.00668 4.07× 5.4% 1.2% SCRUSD, GBPFJD, AUDFJD, FJDGBP, USDPGK
USDNGN 7 0.00665 4.05× 4.8% 4.1% NGNUSD, MXNPEN, MADAUD, BRLHKD, GBPZMW
IDRTHB 8 0.00650 3.96× 0.8% 0.2% KRWRUB
CADAED 9 0.00641 3.90× 2.6% 0.5% GBPILS, CADILS, ILSNOK
MXNCOP 10 0.00624 3.80× 3.3% 3.0% EURRUB, MXNPEN, ZARRWF, GBPUYU, LRDGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-11-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRWBRL 0.009890.00043 +0.00946
IDRZAR 0.014170.00758 +0.00658
KRWRUB 0.006030.00031 +0.00572
BRLEUR 0.005890.00041 +0.00548
USDNGN 0.006650.00164 +0.00501

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCLP 0.000990.01090 -0.00991
RUBPLN 0.004320.01185 -0.00753
RUBEUR 0.002400.00974 -0.00734
JPYTHB 0.000660.00760 -0.00693
SEKUSD 0.000370.00642 -0.00605

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.