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Daily network digest

Monday, November 25, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 7.22× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.113
Clustering
0.355
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03407 7.22× 72.0% 10.9% DASHUSD, XRDUSD, DSHUSD, LCXUSD, SRMUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02857 6.06× 58.3% 23.2% QTUMUSD, VETUSD, XAUTUSD, TIAUSD, ICPUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02542 5.39× 58.8% 26.1% CTSIUSD, API3USD, SKLUSD, FORTHUSD, IMXUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02326 4.93× 53.1% 6.6% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, LCXUSD, ETHBTC
XAUTUSD 5 0.01954 4.14× 46.9% 28.4% API3USD, IMXUSD, SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, FORTHUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01854 3.93× 31.3% 26.1% ELAUSD, AERGOUSD, XLMUSD, BNTUSD, XRPUSD
XYOUSD 7 0.01423 3.02× 35.5% 10.0% DOTUSD, YGGEUR, SWFTCUSD, KSMUSD, ABTUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01320 2.80× 29.9% 21.3% XDCUSD, MKRUSD, ABTUSD, QIUSD, NEARUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.01315 2.79× 35.5% 26.1% XRPBTC, REPUSD, QTUMUSD, XDCUSD, DSHUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.01294 2.74× 32.7% 8.1% MDTUSD, OGNUSD, BONDUSD, ANKRUSD, XRDUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XYOUSD 0.014230.00447 +0.00976
XRPBTC 0.034070.02539 +0.00867
FORTUSD 0.011930.00375 +0.00818
LCXUSD 0.011690.00375 +0.00794
KRLUSD 0.023260.01622 +0.00704

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TLOSUSD 0.005810.01768 -0.01187
XDCUSD 0.012940.02437 -0.01143
GYENUSD 0.004610.01189 -0.00728
BTCJPY 0.003950.01089 -0.00694
USTUSD 0.006350.01177 -0.00542

Foreign exchange

RUBPLN was the most central name, carrying 7.45× the influence of an average node across 629 pairs.

pairs
629
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBPLN 1 0.01185 7.45× 6.4% 2.9% XAGRUB, JPYMYR, XAGUSD, XAGINR, XAGTRY
RUBNOK 2 0.01113 7.00× 9.6% 1.8% JPYMYR, AUDBRL, JODILS, USDRWF, GBPSCR
BRLCLP 3 0.01090 6.86× 8.8% 3.5% KRWMYR, XAGCNY, XAGEUR, FJDGBP, XAGCAD
RUBEUR 4 0.00974 6.13× 4.1% 2.5% BRLCAD, SGDBRL, MXNCLP, EURBRL, RWFGBP
EURRUB 5 0.00807 5.08× 6.1% 3.0% BRLCAD, ETBGBP, SGDBRL, GBPRWF, RWFGBP
JPYTHB 6 0.00760 4.78× 6.8% 2.1% TWDCHF, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
IDRZAR 7 0.00758 4.77× 11.0% 1.4% EURTWD, CADBMD, CADKYD, SGDJPY, COPUSD
COPUSD 8 0.00720 4.53× 9.2% 3.2% PENCAD, ZAREGP, ZARDKK, CHFILS, ZARAED
DKKRUB 9 0.00713 4.48× 10.7% 2.7% USDNOK, BRLCHF, DKKPLN, PLNDKK, PLNCHF
ZAREGP 10 0.00704 4.43× 12.9% 3.0% IDRZAR, MURUSD, GBPMUR, ZMWZAR, EURTWD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBNOK 0.011130.00213 +0.00899
BRLCLP 0.010900.00287 +0.00804
JPYTHB 0.007600.00032 +0.00727
RUBPLN 0.011850.00542 +0.00643
IDRZAR 0.007580.00173 +0.00585

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.002470.02331 -0.02083
USDNGN 0.001640.01205 -0.01041
MDLUSD 0.001320.00970 -0.00838
IDRHKD 0.000490.00705 -0.00656
USDALL 0.000380.00676 -0.00638

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.