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Daily network digest

Friday, November 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.64× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.119
Clustering
0.354
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03119 6.64× 69.8% 13.7% TRBUSD, MAGICUSD, SRMUSD, LCXUSD, KRLUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02703 5.76× 57.5% 17.5% TIAUSD, VETUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, ICPUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02447 5.21× 56.1% 17.0% SKLUSD, GNOUSD, LPTUSD, HIGHUSD, XLMUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02212 4.71× 51.4% 6.1% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, LCXUSD, METISUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01842 3.92× 48.6% 18.4% SKLUSD, API3USD, LPTUSD, GNOUSD, IMXUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01792 3.82× 35.8% 25.0% ELAUSD, UMAUSD, XRPUSD, AERGOUSD, XLMUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.01395 2.97× 34.0% 11.8% OGNUSD, MDTUSD, BONDUSD, ANKRUSD, DIAUSD
XYOUSD 8 0.01377 2.93× 36.3% 5.7% DOTUSD, BTCAUD, PAXGUSD, KSMUSD, USTUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.01253 2.67× 37.3% 30.7% XRPBTC, REPUSD, QTUMUSD, DSHUSD, XDCUSD
BONDUSD 10 0.01204 2.57× 31.6% 19.3% ABTUSD, XDCUSD, GTCUSD, QIUSD, OXYUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XYOUSD 0.013770.00459 +0.00918
LCXUSD 0.010990.00389 +0.00710
FORTUSD 0.011240.00459 +0.00665
KRLUSD 0.022120.01623 +0.00589
TRACUSD 0.011000.00545 +0.00555

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.013950.02663 -0.01267
TLOSUSD 0.005730.01583 -0.01010
BTCJPY 0.004460.01155 -0.00708
GYENUSD 0.004950.01146 -0.00651
USTUSD 0.006370.01240 -0.00603

Foreign exchange

BRLJPY was the most central name, carrying 13.63× the influence of an average node across 585 pairs.

pairs
585
Density
0.023
Clustering
0.349
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLJPY 1 0.02331 13.63× 6.5% 1.4% LKRZAR, MURUSD, MURGBP, USDKES, BRLMXN
USDNGN 2 0.01205 7.05× 6.7% 3.9% GBPZMW, NGNUSD, BRLHKD, BRLSGD, BRLCAD
CNYZAR 3 0.01074 6.29× 3.4% 2.2% BRLEUR, MXNARS, USDBRL, BWPZAR, USDZAR
MDLUSD 4 0.00970 5.68× 4.6% 0.5% NGNUSD, RUBEUR, USDALL
GBPNGN 5 0.00883 5.16× 1.5% 0.9% USDFJD, ARSCLP, FJDUSD, CLPCNY, EURLBP
SCRGBP 6 0.00793 4.64× 5.0% 1.4% NZDTRY, EURRUB, COPZAR, CADCOP, COPCAD
NGNUSD 7 0.00751 4.40× 4.6% 3.4% GBPZMW, SCRGBP, USDZMW, LBPUSD, ZARBRL
CHFKRW 8 0.00746 4.36× 7.7% 0.2% BRLJPY
AUDKRW 9 0.00738 4.32× 7.7% 0.2% BRLJPY
NZDKRW 10 0.00735 4.30× 7.7% 0.2% BRLJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-11-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.023310.00042 +0.02289
CNYZAR 0.010740.00167 +0.00908
IDRHKD 0.007050.00065 +0.00640
GBPNGN 0.008830.00247 +0.00636
SCRUSD 0.006870.00147 +0.00540

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSZL 0.004640.01312 -0.00849
SGDJPY 0.002730.00846 -0.00574
XAGBRL 0.000750.00629 -0.00554
USDTHB 0.000320.00548 -0.00515
MXNBRL 0.000660.00535 -0.00469

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.