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Daily network digest

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.64× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.104
Clustering
0.337
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.02663 5.64× 51.2% 12.3% XRPBTC, GNOUSD, XAUTUSD, TUSD, STORJUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02649 5.62× 47.4% 19.4% RLYUSD, XTZUSD, AVAXUSD, XDCUSD, ELAUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02523 5.35× 41.7% 16.1% ASMUSD, LPTUSD, TRXUSD, IOTUSD, RENUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02145 4.55× 41.2% 4.7% REPUSD, LPTUSD, ASMUSD, EGLDUSD, FXUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01758 3.73× 37.0% 15.6% MKRUSD, FLOWUSD, QNTUSD, XDCUSD, AVAXUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01623 3.44× 40.3% 6.6% LTCBTC, XDCUSD, XRPBTC, TRXUSD, PAXUSD
TLOSUSD 7 0.01583 3.35× 35.1% 14.7% QNTUSD, LTCBTC, AKTEUR, ORCAUSD, QTUMUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.01333 2.83× 23.7% 16.6% ARPAUSD, CROUSD, XDCUSD, PAXGUSD, HIGHUSD
JSTUSD 9 0.01249 2.65× 31.3% 9.5% REPUSD, PAXGUSD, FILUSD, ICPUSD, CLVUSD
USTUSD 10 0.01240 2.63× 36.0% 30.3% MASKUSD, CTSIUSD, AMPUSD, YGGUSD, LTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-11-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.026630.00779 +0.01883
REPUSD 0.025230.01169 +0.01354
TLOSUSD 0.015830.00476 +0.01106
USTUSD 0.012400.00429 +0.00810
XRPBTC 0.026490.01957 +0.00692

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009090.03190 -0.02281
ETHBTC 0.008340.02106 -0.01272
KRLUSD 0.016230.02664 -0.01041
LCXUSD 0.003890.01112 -0.00723
HNTUSD 0.010790.01751 -0.00672

Foreign exchange

USDSZL was the most central name, carrying 7.94× the influence of an average node across 605 pairs.

pairs
605
Density
0.026
Clustering
0.338
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDSZL 1 0.01312 7.94× 15.7% 4.5% RUBNOK, RUBPLN, USDPGK, DKKRUB, ILSAUD
USDNGN 2 0.01102 6.66× 7.3% 4.3% NGNUSD, MXNPEN, GBPSCR, BRLHKD, XAGARS
NGNUSD 3 0.01087 6.58× 4.5% 3.8% CLPMXN, MXNBRL, MXNCLP, USDALL, XAGARS
SGDJPY 4 0.00846 5.12× 16.2% 7.3% USDNOK, ILSEUR, XAGKRW, GBPBRL, NZDMXN
BRLUSD 5 0.00779 4.71× 8.1% 2.6% HUFCAD, CZKCAD, XAURUB, JODILS, IDRZAR
NOKAED 6 0.00773 4.67× 12.3% 6.1% XAGINR, RUBPLN, USDDOP, DKKRUB, USDPEN
GBPBRL 7 0.00758 4.58× 8.3% 1.8% CZKCAD, HUFCAD, DKKRUB, RUBPLN, USDTHB
JPYCLP 8 0.00744 4.50× 7.5% 1.7% RUBEUR, JPYRSD, AUDTRY, ZMWUSD, TRYJPY
CLPARS 9 0.00727 4.40× 1.2% 0.3% EURCLP, EURZMW
XAGBRL 10 0.00629 3.80× 8.9% 7.1% MXNCAD, CADMXN, MXNDKK, DKKMXN, JPYMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-11-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNGN 0.011020.00211 +0.00890
NGNUSD 0.010870.00407 +0.00680
USDSZL 0.013120.00645 +0.00667
NOKAED 0.007730.00157 +0.00615
JPYCLP 0.007440.00186 +0.00558

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.000550.01224 -0.01169
JPYPKR 0.000330.01163 -0.01130
JPYTHB 0.000610.00864 -0.00803
BRLCLP 0.002630.01020 -0.00757
EURTWD 0.000340.00690 -0.00656

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.